Shiba Inu's Price Trajectory: Zero Addition or Deletion by 2030?

The Deflationary Engine: Token Burns and Supply Dynamics

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has emerged as a case study in deflationary tokenomics, with its burn rate surging to unprecedented levels in 2025. As of September 2025, over 410.75 trillion SHIB tokens have been permanently removed from circulation, representing 41% of the initial 1 quadrillion supply [1]. This aggressive reduction has left 589.25 trillion SHIB in circulation, a figure that continues to shrink due to community-driven and automated burning mechanisms.

The burn rate itself has become a focal point of volatility. In a single 24-hour period in September 2025, the burn rate spiked by 83,891%, with 88.03 million SHIB tokens destroyed [4]. A week later, another surge saw 1.3 million SHIB burned in 24 hours, marking a 340,000% increase in activity [5]. While these burns have limited immediate price impacts—24-hour burned tokens are valued at approximately $15 million [1]—they signal a growing commitment to reducing supply, which could theoretically drive long-term value.

Price Predictions: A Spectrum of Scenarios

Analysts remain divided on SHIB’s 2030 price trajectory, with forecasts ranging from cautious optimism to bearish skepticism. CoinCodex projects a conservative range of $0.00004156 to $0.00005261 by 2030, emphasizing the token’s deflationary tailwinds [1]. In contrast, Changelly offers a more bullish outlook, predicting an average price of $0.00032397 and potential peaks of $0.00036596 [2]. CoinDCX aligns with moderate growth, forecasting $0.000059 to $0.000072 [2].

These divergences stem from variables beyond token burns. Shibarium, SHIB’s Layer 2 blockchain, could catalyze utility-driven demand if it gains traction in decentralized applications (dApps) or NFTs [3]. Conversely, macroeconomic headwinds—such as interest rate hikes or regulatory crackdowns—could dampen investor sentiment. For instance, a 2025 report by Capital.com notes that SHIB’s price is highly sensitive to broader crypto market trends, with Bitcoin’s performance often acting as a bellwether [3].

Volatility and the "Smart Money" Factor

SHIB’s volatility remains a double-edged sword. While token burns create scarcity, they do not inherently guarantee demand. In September 2025, a 1,661% surge in the burn rate coincided with a 5% price increase, driven by "smart money" investors accumulating SHIB on decentralized exchanges [1]. This suggests that institutional or whale activity may amplify short-term price swings, even as long-term deflationary mechanisms take hold.

However, critics argue that SHIB’s utility remains limited compared to Ethereum or Solana. Without robust use cases beyond speculation, the token’s value could stagnate or collapse under bear market conditions. A Coinpedia analysis highlights that SHIB’s price resilience depends on its ability to transition from a "meme coin" to a functional blockchain asset [3].

The Zero Addition or Deletion Dilemma

The question of whether SHIB will reach $0 or achieve meaningful value by 2030 hinges on three factors:
1. Burn Rate Sustainability: If burns continue at current rates, SHIB’s supply could shrink to <10% of its initial allocation by 2030, potentially boosting value via scarcity.
2. Utility Expansion: Success in Shibarium’s ecosystem could attract developers and users, creating demand beyond speculative trading.
3. Market Conditions: A bull run in crypto markets could lift SHIB alongside Bitcoin, while a prolonged bear market might render even aggressive burns ineffective.

Conclusion: A High-Risk, High-Reward Proposition

Shiba Inu’s trajectory to 2030 is a high-stakes gamble. The token’s deflationary model and recent burn surges provide a structural floor for value, but they are insufficient to counteract macroeconomic or regulatory risks. For investors, SHIB represents a speculative bet on the meme coin’s evolution into a utility-driven asset. While the data suggests a non-zero probability of reaching $0.0001 or higher, the path is fraught with volatility. As one analyst aptly put it, “SHIB’s future isn’t just about burning tokens—it’s about building a future worth holding” [3].

Source:
[1] Shibburn, [https://www.shibburn.com/]
[2] Shiba Inu price prediction 2025-2050: Third-party SHIB, [https://capital.com/en-int/analysis/shiba-inu-price-prediction-for-2030]
[3] Shiba Inu Price Prediction (2025–2030): In-Depth Analysis, [https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/16291699874146]