Apoyo frágil de SHIB y profundización de la estructura alcista: ¿Es éste el fondo o una prolongación del colapso?

Shiba Inu (SHIB), the meme coin that once captured the imagination of retail investors with its audacious $1 price dream, now finds itself in a precarious position. As 2025 draws to a close, the token's technical structure and market sentiment paint a grim picture: fragile support levels, bearish momentum indicators, and a social media-driven narrative that increasingly favors sellers. But is this the prelude to a bottoming process-or the start of a deeper collapse?

Technical Breakdown: A House of Cards

SHIB's price action in late 2025 reveals a market in distress. On the daily chart, the token trades below all key moving averages (20, 50, and 200-day), a classic bearish signal that underscores the lack of conviction among buyers according to technical analysis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near oversold territory at 35.9, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound-but not a reversal. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram, a critical gauge of momentum, remains bearish, with its bearish divergence indicating that selling pressure persists despite fleeting rallies according to technical indicators.

Support levels are equally concerning. The immediate support at $0.0000072 is a fragile line in the sand. A break below this level could trigger a cascade to yearly lows near $0.0000067, as bears target fresh depths according to market analysis. Resistance, meanwhile, is clustered around $0.00000824, a level that has repeatedly failed to hold. For any meaningful bullish move, SHIB must not only retest this resistance but do so with strong volume confirmation-a scenario that seems increasingly unlikely given the current technical backdrop according to technical reports.

Short-term overbought conditions on the hourly and 15-minute timeframes (RSI at 69.14 and 71.29, respectively) hint at potential pullbacks, but these are more indicative of noise than a trend reversal according to analysis. Analysts caution that without a sustained break above $0.0000085, the bearish structure will remain intact according to market commentary.

Market Sentiment: A Death Spiral

Technical indicators are only half the story. Market sentiment for SHIB in 2025 has deteriorated sharply, with social media trends, on-chain data, and macroeconomic factors aligning to reinforce the bear case.

Social Dominance metrics-a measure of interest in SHIB relative to the broader crypto market-have plummeted, reflecting waning enthusiasm according to market data. Futures Open Interest on platforms like Bitmex has hit yearly lows, signaling reduced participation and weaker conviction among traders according to platform data. On-chain data corroborates this narrative: sustained selling pressure and declining inflows into SHIB wallets suggest that holders are capitulating rather than accumulating according to on-chain analysis.

Social media sentiment is equally bleak. Traders and analysts frequently label SHIB as "a short," with some noting that the token "still screams SHORT" despite occasional rebounds according to social media trends. The broader crypto Fear & Greed Index, which measures investor psychology, sits at an extreme fear level of 24-a stark reminder of the market's pervasive pessimism according to market sentiment data.

Is This the Bottom? A Delicate Balance

The question of whether SHIB has hit its bottom hinges on two factors: technical resilience and sentiment shifts. On the technical side, a 10-15% bounce toward $0.00001019–$0.0000128 is theoretically possible, but bearish MACD signals and the absence of volume-driven buying suggest this would be a shallow recovery at best according to technical analysis. For a true bottom to form, SHIB would need to retest key resistance levels with strong volume and see a sustained move above $0.0000085-a scenario that remains contingent on broader market conditions improving according to market analysis.

On the sentiment front, a reversal is unlikely without a catalyst. While SHIB's tokenomics and community-driven narrative once fueled hype, these factors have lost their luster in 2025. The token's 10-out-of-12-month losing streak-a record for its worst performance-has eroded trust, and without a fundamental shift in use cases or adoption, sentiment is unlikely to turn bullish according to performance data.

Conclusion: A Bearish Bet with No Safety Net

SHIB's technical and sentiment profiles in late 2025 paint a picture of a market in freefall. The fragile support at $0.0000072 is a critical level to watch, but its failure would likely accelerate the token's descent. Meanwhile, bearish momentum indicators and a collapse in social media interest suggest that the bears are in control.

For investors, the lesson is clear: SHIB's current structure offers no margin of safety. While short-term rebounds are possible, they are best viewed as tactical trades rather than long-term opportunities. Until the token can break above $0.0000085 with conviction-and until sentiment shifts from fear to curiosity-SHIB remains a high-risk, low-reward proposition.