Serve Robotics experimentó un aumento del 11.5% debido al impulso de la expansión y al entusiasmo de los analistas.

Summary
• Serve Robotics (SERV) rockets 11.5% intraday to $15.02, driven by a 2,000-robot deployment milestone and bullish analyst ratings.
• Analysts at Northland and Oppenheimer highlight SERV as a 'physical AI' pioneer, with price targets of $26 and $20.
• Options volatility spikes, with implied volatility ratios exceeding 100% for key contracts.
• The stock trades above its 200-day moving average ($10.54) amid a short-term bullish trend.

Serve Robotics is experiencing a dramatic intraday rally, fueled by a strategic milestone in autonomous delivery expansion and renewed analyst optimism. The stock’s 11.5% surge to $15.02—its highest level since late 2024—reflects growing confidence in its AI-driven robot fleet and partnerships with Uber Eats and DoorDash. With options volatility surging and technical indicators aligning with a bullish breakout, investors are recalibrating their risk profiles around this high-growth play.

Expansion and Analyst Ratings Drive Surge
Serve Robotics’ 11.5% intraday jump is anchored by two key catalysts: a 2,000-robot deployment milestone and a wave of bullish analyst commentary. The company announced it has deployed over 2,000 delivery robots across seven U.S. cities, including Los Angeles, Atlanta, and Chicago, achieving its 2025 target ahead of schedule. This expansion, coupled with a multi-year partnership with DoorDash, has positioned SERV as a leader in the 'physical AI' space. Analysts at Northland and Oppenheimer reiterated 'Outperform' ratings, citing the company’s virtual driver technology and potential for margin improvement. Additionally, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang’s endorsement at CES 2026—highlighting SERV’s robots during his keynote—fueled retail and institutional buying.

Automotive Sector Mixed as Tesla Trails
The broader automotive sector remains fragmented, with Tesla (TSLA) down 0.3% despite SERV’s rally. While Tesla faces production and regulatory headwinds, Serve Robotics is capitalizing on its niche in autonomous delivery. The stock’s 11.5% gain outperforms the S&P 500’s 1.15% YTD return, reflecting its speculative nature and exposure to AI-driven logistics. However, the sector’s volatility persists, with suppliers facing pressure from Chinese competition and EV demand softening.

Options Volatility and Leverage Playbook
• Technical Indicators: 200-day MA: $10.54 (below); RSI: 69.7 (neutral); MACD: 0.31 (bullish); Bollinger Bands: $13.82 (upper), $11.30 (middle).
• Key Levels: Immediate resistance at $15.50 (52W high: $23.10), support at $13.89 (intraday low).
• Options Focus: High-leverage call options with moderate delta and gamma are optimal for capitalizing on short-term momentum.

Top Options:
• SERV20260116C15 (Call, $15 strike, 1/16 expiration):
- IV: 98.96% (high volatility)
- Leverage Ratio: 12.61% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.6177 (moderate sensitivity)
- Gamma: 0.1583 (high sensitivity to price moves)
- Turnover: 197,094 (liquid)
- Payoff (5% upside): $0.76 per contract (max(0, 15.77 - 15)).
- Why: High gamma and IV make this ideal for a continuation of the rally.

• SERV20260116C14 (Call, $14 strike, 1/16 expiration):
- IV: 87.25% (elevated)
- Leverage Ratio: 8.38% (moderate)
- Delta: 0.7949 (high sensitivity)
- Gamma: 0.1337 (strong price responsiveness)
- Turnover: 152,642 (liquid)
- Payoff (5% upside): $1.77 per contract (max(0, 15.77 - 14)).
- Why: High delta and gamma position this as a core holding for aggressive bulls.

Action: Aggressive bulls should target SERV20260116C14 for a 5% upside scenario, while SERV20260116C15 offers a balanced risk-reward profile. Monitor the $15.50 level for a breakout confirmation.

Backtest Serve Robotics Stock Performance
The backtest of SERV's performance following a 12% intraday surge from 2022 to the present indicates positive short-to-medium-term gains, with the maximum return recorded at 31.78% over 30 days. The 3-Day, 10-Day, and 30-Day win rates are high, ranging from 48.53% to 53.92%, suggesting that SERV is likely to experience continued positive momentum after such an increase.

Breakout or Bubble? Watch $15.50 and Analyst Momentum
Serve Robotics’ 11.5% surge reflects a confluence of strategic expansion, analyst upgrades, and AI-driven hype. While the stock remains below its 52-week high of $23.10, the technical setup—bullish MACD, RSI in neutral territory, and a break above Bollinger Bands—suggests momentum could persist. Investors should watch the $15.50 level as a critical inflection point; a close above this could trigger a re-rating toward Northland’s $26 target. Meanwhile, Tesla’s -0.3% decline underscores the sector’s divergence, with SERV’s niche in physical AI offering asymmetric upside. For now, the call options highlighted above provide a leveraged vehicle to capitalize on this high-conviction trade.