El litigio de Rusia con Euroclear y la reconfiguración de las finanzas mundiales

The legal battle between Russia and Euroclear over a $229 billion claim is more than a jurisdictional squabble. It is a microcosm of a broader geopolitical and financial realignment that is challenging the U.S. dollar's dominance and reshaping the architecture of global capital. As financial reports indicate, Moscow's legal challenge-filed in a Moscow court-has exposed the fragility of dollar-centric financial systems and the growing appetite for alternatives among nations seeking to insulate themselves from Western sanctions. This dispute underscores a critical question: Can the dollar retain its hegemony in an era of multipolar economic competition?

The Legal and Geopolitical Context

Russia's claim against Euroclear, a Belgium-based clearinghouse for securities, centers on its inability to access frozen assets held in the EU. The Bank of Russia alleges that Euroclear is obstructing its ability to manage these funds, which were frozen after the invasion of Ukraine. The EU, however, has defended Euroclear's legal right to offset any potential seizures of its assets in Russia with the Russian assets it holds in Belgium according to Reuters. This standoff reflects a deeper tension: the use of financial infrastructure as a tool of geopolitical leverage. Euroclear, like its U.S. counterpart SWIFT, is a linchpin of global capital flows.

Its role in this dispute highlights how financial systems are no longer neutral-they are battlegrounds for ideological and economic rivalry.

De-Dollarization: From Rhetoric to Reality

The Russia-Euroclear conflict is part of a larger trend: the gradual erosion of the dollar's dominance. While the dollar still commands 69% of global currency usage and 60% of foreign exchange reserves, its share has declined to a two-decade low in central bank holdings. Countries are diversifying reserves into euros, yuan, and gold, while energy and commodity contracts are increasingly priced in non-dollar currencies. For instance, Russia and China now settle 99.1% of their trade in rubles and yuan, and Brazil and China have eliminated the dollar as an intermediary in bilateral trade.

Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are accelerating this shift. China's e-CNY is already used in 20% of its trade with Russia and is being tested for commodity deals with Saudi Arabia and Brazil according to BRICS Brazil. Russia's digital ruble, launched in 2025, aims to bypass Western financial restrictions, particularly in energy transactions according to BRICS Brazil. India's e-Rupee, with 50 million users, is being positioned for trade with the UAE according to BRICS Brazil. These digital tools are not just technological innovations-they are geopolitical weapons, enabling nations to circumvent dollar-based systems and create parallel financial ecosystems.

BRICS and the Quest for Alternatives

The BRICS bloc-Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa-has emerged as a vanguard of de-dollarization. While a unified BRICS currency remains aspirational, the group has made tangible progress. The BRICS Pay platform, designed to facilitate cross-border transactions in local currencies, is gaining traction. Egypt has stopped trading in dollars, and Saudi Arabia's potential BRICS membership could further destabilize the petrodollar system. However, internal divisions persist. India and Brazil, for example, remain cautious, wary of disrupting their deep ties to Western financial systems.

India's recent sovereign wealth strategies exemplify the broader trend. The Reserve Bank of India has reduced U.S. Treasury holdings by $15 billion and increased gold reserves by 600 kilograms. These moves are part of a deliberate effort to hedge against U.S. sanctions and dollar volatility. Meanwhile, India's Special Rupee Vostro Accounts now facilitate rupee settlements with 30 countries, signaling a quiet but significant shift in trade dynamics.

Challenges and the Dollar's Resilience

Despite these developments, the dollar's dominance is not easily dethroned. Its liquidity, institutional depth and role as a global safe haven remain unmatched. U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of 100% tariffs on BRICS members using alternative currencies has also deterred some nations from fully committing to de-dollarization according to Lowy Institute. Moreover, the dollar's decline is gradual, not abrupt. As one analyst notes, "The dollar is not under siege-it is under siege and winning" according to PaymentsCMI.

Implications for Investors

For investors, the Russia-Euroclear dispute and the broader de-dollarization trend signal a need to rethink portfolio allocations. Diversification into non-dollar assets-such as gold, euros, yuan, and emerging-market equities-is no longer optional but essential. Sovereign wealth funds and central banks are already leading the way, and private investors should follow. Additionally, exposure to CBDCs and blockchain-based payment systems could offer long-term gains as these technologies redefine cross-border trade.

The Russia-Euroclear case is a harbinger of a more fragmented global financial system. While the dollar's reign is far from over, the rise of multipolar currency networks and the weaponization of financial infrastructure suggest that the era of dollar hegemony is waning. Investors who recognize this shift early will be better positioned to navigate the uncertainties of a world where capital realignment is the new norm.