Rocket Lab alcanza el máximo en una semana de 52 semanas con lanzamientos sin precedentes y un contrato de $800 millones ¿Qué impulsa un aumento del 9,75%?

Summary
• Rocket Lab (RKLB) surges 9.75% to $77.4, hitting its 52-week high of $78.44
• Company completes 21st Electron launch in 2025, achieving 100% mission success rate
• $800M satellite deal with U.S. Space Development Agency and Stifel’s $85 price target boost optimism

Rocket Lab’s stock is trading at its highest level since its 2023 IPO, driven by a perfect 2025 launch record, a major government contract, and analyst upgrades. The stock’s intraday range of $72.75–$78.44 reflects intense buying pressure amid sector-wide optimism for space infrastructure.

Record Launches and $800M Contract Drive Rocket Lab’s Bullish Surge
Rocket Lab’s 9.75% intraday gain is fueled by three catalysts: (1) the 21st Electron launch in 2025, marking a 100% success rate for the year; (2) an $800M satellite design/build contract with the U.S. Space Development Agency; and (3) Stifel’s upgraded price target to $85. The 21st launch, named The Wisdom God Guides, solidified Rocket Lab’s position as the world’s busiest small-lift orbital rocket provider. The SDA contract, coupled with seven satellites launched for iQPS since 2023, underscores growing demand for rapid, reliable small-satellite launches. Analysts highlight the company’s ability to secure high-margin government contracts and its expanding footprint in the $12B global small-satellite market.

Aerospace & Defense Sector Rally as Rocket Lab Leads Charge
The Aerospace & Defense sector is surging on government spending optimism, with Lockheed Martin (LMT) up 2.04% on the day. Rocket Lab’s 9.75% gain outpaces sector peers, reflecting its unique position in the small-satellite launch niche. While LMT benefits from traditional defense contracts, Rocket Lab is capitalizing on the U.S. Space Development Agency’s $800M investment in Earth-imaging satellites. The sector’s broader rally is driven by President Trump’s executive order for lunar base dominance and NASA’s restructured leadership under Jared Isaacman, creating a tailwind for space infrastructure stocks.

Options Playbook: High-Leverage Calls and Strategic Gamma for Rocket Lab’s Volatile Move
• RSI: 80.10 (overbought), MACD: 3.24 (bullish), 200D MA: $39.47 (far below current price)
• Bollinger Bands: Price at $77.4 vs. upper band $68.57 (overextended), suggesting potential pullback

Rocket Lab’s technicals indicate a short-term overbought condition but strong momentum. Key levels to watch: $75 (psychological support/resistance) and $78.44 (52-week high). The stock’s 8.61% turnover rate and 80.10 RSI suggest caution for aggressive longs, but high-gamma options offer strategic entry points.

Top Option 1: RKLB20251226C75
• Code: RKLB20251226C75, Type: Call, Strike: $75, Expiry: 2025-12-26
• IV: 87.55% (high volatility), LVR: 17.38%, Delta: 0.6395 (moderate), Theta: -0.6712 (rapid time decay), Gamma: 0.0472 (sensitive to price swings), Turnover: $3.71M
• Payoff at 5% upside ($81.3): $6.3/share. This call offers 158.33% price change potential with moderate delta and high gamma, ideal for a short-term rally.

Top Option 2: RKLB20251226C76
• Code: RKLB20251226C76, Type: Call, Strike: $76, Expiry: 2025-12-26
• IV: 82.29% (moderate), LVR: 20.96%, Delta: 0.5934 (moderate), Theta: -0.6401 (rapid decay), Gamma: 0.0521 (high sensitivity), Turnover: $1.33M
• Payoff at 5% upside ($81.3): $5.3/share. This contract balances leverage and liquidity, with high gamma to capitalize on volatility.

Aggressive bulls should target the $75 call for a 5% upside scenario, while the $76 call offers a safer entry with strong gamma. Both contracts benefit from Rocket Lab’s 52-week high breakout and sector momentum.

Backtest Rocket Lab Stock Performance
The backtest of RKLB's performance following a 10% intraday increase from 2022 to now shows a significant strategy return of 433.53%, vastly outperforming the benchmark return of 48.07%. The strategy achieved an excess return of 385.46% and a CAGR of 53.47%, indicating substantial growth during the period. However, it's important to note that the strategy had a maximum drawdown of 0.00%, which suggests that there was no loss during the backtest period, potentially due to the intraday increase being met immediately.

Rocket Lab’s Momentum Unstoppable – Act Now on High-Gamma Calls or Ride the Sector Rally
Rocket Lab’s 9.75% surge is a testament to its dominance in the small-satellite launch market and strategic government contracts. The stock’s 80.10 RSI and 3.24 MACD suggest continued bullish momentum, but traders should monitor the $75 support level and $78.44 52-week high for confirmation. With the Aerospace & Defense sector rallying on Trump’s lunar base order and NASA’s restructured leadership, Rocket Lab is well-positioned to outperform. Sector leader Lockheed Martin (LMT) is up 2.04%, signaling broader industry strength. Investors should prioritize the RKLB20251226C75 call for a 5% upside scenario or ride the sector rally into 2026. Watch for a breakdown below $75 to trigger profit-taking, but the long-term case for space infrastructure remains intact.