Rivian Q4 Earnings Preview: Profitability Progress, R2 Launch, 2025 Outlook And Key Factors To Watch

Rivian Automotive (RIVN) is set to report its fourth-quarter financial results after market close on Thursday, February 20, 2025. Investors and analysts will be closely watching the company's progress in improving profitability, the upcoming launch of the R2 SUV, and the outlook for 2025. Here's a preview of the key factors to watch and what analysts expect from Rivian's earnings.

Profitability Progress

Rivian has been working to improve its profitability, and analysts expect the company to report a loss of 65 cents per share in the fourth quarter, an improvement from a loss of $1.36 in the previous year's fourth quarter. The company has missed analyst estimates for earnings per share in three of the last four quarters but has beaten the estimate in seven of the last 10 quarters overall. Rivian's losses have improved in recent quarters, with the company reporting a loss of $0.99 per share in the third quarter.



R2 Launch

The upcoming launch of the R2 SUV is expected to be a focal point for Rivian in 2025. With a starting price of around $45,000, the R2 could position Rivian in more direct competition with Tesla and other automakers. Rivian could comment on the number of reservations it has for the vehicle and how the timeline for production is progressing during its earnings call. This information will provide insights into the demand for the R2 and the potential impact on the company's market share and revenue growth.



2025 Outlook

All eyes will likely be on Rivian's 2025 guidance and commentary as the company works through a plant shutdown in the second half at its Normal, Illinois facility to prepare for the production of the R2 SUV. Rivian's 2025 outlook will be crucial for investors to assess the company's growth prospects and market position in the competitive electric vehicle landscape.

Key Factors to Watch

1. Amazon's Electric Delivery Vans: Rivian has been a key partner with Amazon, delivering over 20,000 electric delivery vans. Investors and analysts would love to hear if any companies have signed deals or taken deliveries other than Amazon, as this could indicate the success of Rivian's commercial vehicle strategy.
2. Federal Loan for Georgia Manufacturing Facility: Rivian's $6.6 billion federal loan for its Georgia manufacturing facility is facing pressure from President Donald Trump's administration. Any indication that federal funding might not materialize could rattle investors, as it would hinder Rivian's efforts to strengthen profitability and expand its production capacity.
3. Rivian's Guidance for 2025: Rivian's guidance for 2025 will be crucial for investors to assess the company's growth prospects and market position in the competitive electric vehicle landscape.

In conclusion, Rivian's fourth-quarter earnings report will provide valuable insights into the company's progress in improving profitability, the upcoming launch of the R2 SUV, and the outlook for 2025. Investors and analysts will be closely watching these key factors to assess Rivian's growth prospects and market position in the competitive electric vehicle landscape.