El riesgo creciente de actividad de ballenas en las monedas memes y de las altcoins

The cryptocurrency market in late 2025 has become a battleground for volatility, with large whale transactions increasingly shaping the trajectories of meme coins and altcoins. As retail investors chase speculative gains, institutional and individual whales are leveraging their sizeable holdings to manipulate liquidity and price dynamics. This article examines the growing risks posed by whale activity, focusing on its impact on market volatility and liquidity, using recent case studies and academic insights to underscore the systemic vulnerabilities in the crypto ecosystem.

Whale Accumulation and Volatility: A Double-Edged Sword

Whales have long been a force in crypto markets, but their influence has intensified in 2025. Dogecoin (DOGE), for instance, saw a 1.59 billion token accumulation by large holders, valued at $302 million, despite a broader market downturn. Similarly, Pepe Coin (PEPE) attracted whale interest even as its price plummeted 31% in 30 days, with large investors acquiring 0.22 trillion tokens worth $1.5 million. These moves highlight a paradox: whales often accumulate during bearish phases, betting on future rebounds while exacerbating short-term volatility.

The altcoin TRUMP provides a stark example. A whale deposited 3 million TRUMP tokens into Binance in Q4 2025, signaling capitulation and locking in a $7.8 million loss. While this activity initially stabilized the price above $4.80, it also created uneven liquidity clusters, with dense liquidation pockets above $5.10–$5.20 and thinner support below $4.80. This imbalance increased the likelihood of sharp price swings, as buyers struggled to absorb sell-side pressure without sufficient momentum to push the price higher. The RSI reading of 46 further underscored weak bullish momentum, reinforcing the risk of continued downside pressure.

Liquidity Compression and Market Fragility

Whale activity often compresses liquidity by reducing the available supply of tokens for trading. For example, the accumulation of 16.85 million ENA tokens into Coinbase was interpreted as a sell signal, triggering panic and further liquidity contraction. This pattern is not unique to ENA; in Ethereum (ETH), large holders have historically increased their stakes before price surges, while smaller investors liquidate, creating a self-fulfilling cycle of volatility according to research.

The broader market context in Q4 2025 amplified these risks. The launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and the growth of stablecoins to $250 billion redirected capital away from altcoins, thinning order books and increasing execution inefficiencies. For tokens like SYRUP, which saw renewed whale interest despite a 35% drawdown, the combination of steady token unlocks and reduced liquidity created a volatile environment where even minor whale movements could trigger sharp price corrections.

Academic and Institutional Perspectives

Academic studies from 2020 to 2025 consistently highlight the destabilizing effects of whale transactions. Research shows that whale-driven liquidations can account for up to 70% of total market volume during downturns, particularly when leveraged positions are unwound. This was evident in October 2025, when whales capitalized on retail panic to accumulate assets at discounted prices.

Financial institutions have also noted the dual role of whales and institutional players in reshaping market structure. While institutions often rebalance portfolios to manage macroeconomic risks-such as the Fed's October rate cut-whales exploit lower-liquidity altcoin markets to execute strategic trades according to analysis. Tools like on-chain analytics and Whale Alert are now critical for investors to track these movements, yet the opacity of whale strategies remains a challenge according to recent studies.

Conclusion: Navigating the Whale-Driven Risks

The rising influence of whales in meme coins and altcoins underscores a critical risk for investors: the potential for sudden liquidity droughts and price distortions. As whales continue to accumulate during downturns and deploy leveraged positions in volatile assets like TRUMP and VIRTUAL, the market's susceptibility to sharp corrections grows. For retail investors, the key lies in monitoring on-chain metrics, liquidity tools, and whale activity patterns to anticipate volatility. In an ecosystem where whales hold disproportionate power, understanding their behavior is no longer optional-it is a necessity for survival.