El aumento de la volatilidad de 0DTE y su impacto en el comportamiento del comercio minorista

The explosive growth of zero-day-to-expiration (0DTE) options has fundamentally reshaped speculative trading dynamics in U.S. markets, creating a new paradigm where retail participation drives both liquidity and volatility. From 2023 to 2025, 0DTE options accounted for 43% of average daily trading volume in the broader options market, with retail traders dominating 50–60% of SPX 0DTE activity. This surge, fueled by commission-free platforms, gamified trading interfaces, and social media-driven education, has not only democratized access to short-term derivatives but also introduced systemic risks that challenge traditional market structures.

Market Structure Shifts: Liquidity, Volatility, and Gamma Dynamics

The proliferation of 0DTE options has altered liquidity dynamics and volatility pricing mechanisms. Retail traders, who now execute 27% of volume on platforms like MEMX Options, favor these instruments for their precision in intraday risk management and cost efficiency. However, their high-frequency trading patterns-such as volume spikes at 10 am, 10:30 am, 11 am, and 2 pm-suggest the influence of automated strategies, which amplify short-term price swings.

Institutional investors, while less dominant in 0DTE trading, have adapted by leveraging these contracts for tactical hedging and premium harvesting. For example, market-makers dynamically hedge short 0DTE positions by adjusting underlying index exposure, a practice that can exacerbate volatility during extreme price movements. Despite concerns about destabilization, empirical studies indicate that 0DTE options have not significantly increased intraday volatility. Instead, their gamma exposure remains balanced, with buyers and sellers offsetting directional risks according to research.

Behavioral Finance and Retail-Driven Volatility

Retail participation in 0DTE options is deeply rooted in behavioral finance principles. Overconfidence and loss chasing-traits amplified by social media and real-time trading data-have led to excessive trading and risk-taking. For instance, 50% of SPX 0DTE volume in October 2025 was attributed to retail traders, many of whom employed limited-risk strategies like iron condors and vertical spreads. These strategies, while theoretically disciplined, often result in mechanical drag as traders adjust positions near expiration, creating artificial price resistance during closing periods.

Herd behavior further compounds volatility. During periods of macroeconomic uncertainty, such as Federal Reserve announcements or CPI releases, retail traders coordinate actions through platforms like Reddit and YouTube, leading to synchronized buying or selling. This collective behavior, though less prevalent than overconfidence, can temporarily distort price discovery according to research.

Institutional Strategies for Managing Retail-Driven Risks

Institutions must navigate a dual challenge: exploiting 0DTE options for alpha generation while mitigating risks from retail-driven volatility. Dynamic hedging frameworks, such as selling short-dated strangles and adjusting delta exposure in real time, allow institutions to capitalize on theta decay while managing gamma risk. Advanced analytics tools are critical for monitoring Greeks and inventory risks, particularly during high-impact events like earnings reports or geopolitical shocks according to institutional analysis.

Moreover, academic models incorporating stochastic volatility and Poisson jumps provide institutional investors with frameworks to estimate market-implied risk premia for 0DTE options according to ECB research. These models help quantify tail risks and inform hedging decisions in rapidly shifting environments.

Conclusion: A New Era of Speculative Trading

The rise of 0DTE options marks a pivotal shift in market structure, where retail-driven volatility coexists with institutional sophistication. While these instruments offer unparalleled flexibility for managing intraday risks, they also introduce complexities that require robust risk management. For institutions, the key lies in balancing participation in 0DTE markets with disciplined hedging and behavioral insights to navigate the evolving landscape of speculative trading.