Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Q2 2025 Earnings Preview: EPS Expectation Up 87.2% Y/Y, Revenue Down 7.0% Y/Y

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers is set to announce Q2 2025 earnings on August 13th. The consensus EPS estimate is -$0.06, a 87.2% YoY increase, and the consensus revenue estimate is $279.17M, a 7.0% YoY decrease. Over the last 2 years, Red Robin's revenue has declined by 21.8%.

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. (RRGB) is scheduled to announce its Q2 2025 earnings on August 13th. The consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimate is -$0.06, representing an 87.2% year-over-year (YoY) increase, while the consensus revenue estimate stands at $279.17 million, a 7.0% YoY decrease. Over the past two years, Red Robin's revenue has declined by 21.8% [2].

Analysts expect Red Robin's revenue to decline 6.9% YoY to $279.6 million for the quarter [2]. The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 4.3% over the last 30 days, reflecting a collective reconsideration of initial forecasts [3]. The consensus revenue estimate has also been adjusted downward by 4.9% YoY, indicating a projected decline in revenue [3].

Key metrics to watch for in Red Robin's earnings report include revenue, EPS, and EBITDA margin. Analysts forecast revenue to reach $280.07 million, a decline of 4.9% from the prior-year quarter [3]. The estimated number of restaurants, both franchised and company-owned, is expected to decrease, with franchised restaurants projected to reach 90, compared to 92 last year, and total restaurants to reach 486, down from 503 [3].

Red Robin's peers in the sit-down dining segment have shown varying performances. Kura Sushi reported year-on-year revenue growth of 17.3%, beating expectations by 2.5%, while The Cheesecake Factory reported revenues up 5.7%, topping estimates by 0.8% [2]. Red Robin's stock has been up 5.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's move of -1.9% [3].

Investors will also be watching for any comments on the potential impact of economic instability and corporate tax adjustments on the company's performance. Red Robin has missed Wall Street's revenue estimates twice over the last two years, highlighting the importance of the upcoming earnings report for the stock's performance.

References:
[1] https://www.marketscreener.com/news/consensus-cloud-beats-q2-adjusted-eps-estimates-raises-fy-guidance-ce7c5edcd98cf227
[2] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/red-robin-rrgb-reports-q2-030200565.html
[3] https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/exploring-analyst-estimates-red-robin-rrgb-q2-earnings-beyond-revenue-and-eps