POET Surges 11.2% on AI Infrastructure Breakthrough Hints—What’s Fueling the Frenzy?

Summary
• POET jumps 11.2% to $7.94, hitting an intraday high of $8.02
• Turnover surges to 7.6M shares, outpacing 6.2M daily average
• Company news highlights Poet’s CMOS-compatible optical platform and Foxconn/Luxshare partnerships

POET Technologies (POET) has ignited a 11.2% rally amid speculation about its role in AI photonics infrastructure. The stock’s sharp move follows a detailed analysis from long-term investor s3ktor, emphasizing Poet’s manufacturing scalability and strategic partnerships. With turnover at 8.4% of float and a 52-week range of $3.09–$9.41, the stock’s volatility and technical setup suggest a pivotal inflection point.

AI Photonics Infrastructure Positioning Drives POET's Surge
POET’s 11.2% intraday gain stems from a compelling narrative around its CMOS-compatible optical interposer platform, which enables wafer-scale integration and automated assembly. The company’s alignment with Foxconn and Luxshare—key ODMs in AI hardware—positions it as a hidden enabler of next-gen infrastructure. Analyst s3ktor argues that Poet’s focus on CPO/ELS architecture, 800G/1.6T engines, and NPI ramping places it at the intersection of AI’s energy constraints and photonics innovation. This structural positioning, rather than short-term news, has driven investor optimism.

Semiconductor Sector Gains Momentum as Intel Leads Charge
The broader semiconductor sector, led by Intel’s 2.47% intraday gain, reflects optimism around AI-driven demand. However, POET’s 11.2% move outpaces sector averages, underscoring its unique role in photonics manufacturing. While Intel focuses on silicon-centric AI chips, POET’s optical interposer platform targets the energy efficiency bottleneck in data centers. This divergence highlights POET’s potential to disrupt traditional supply chains through embedded, scalable photonics solutions.

Options Playbook: High-Leverage Calls for Aggressive Bulls
• 200-day average: $5.47 (well below current price)
• RSI: 42.39 (oversold territory)
• MACD: 0.33 (bullish divergence)
• Bollinger Bands: Price at upper band ($7.95), suggesting overbought conditions

POET’s technicals point to a breakout scenario. The stock is trading near its 52-week high ($9.41) and has broken above key resistance at $7.37. For aggressive bulls, the POET20260123C8 and POET20260123C8.5 options stand out.

• POET20260123C8
- Strike: $8.00
- Delta: 0.4757 (moderate sensitivity)
- IV: 64.04% (mid-range)
- Leverage: 27.22% (high)
- Turnover: 237,507 (liquid)
- Theta: -0.031151 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.475798 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Payoff (5% up to $8.34): $0.34 per contract
- Why: High leverage and gamma make this ideal for a sharp move.

• POET20260123C8.5
- Strike: $8.50
- Delta: 0.3743 (moderate)
- IV: 107.34% (elevated)
- Leverage: 23.92% (high)
- Turnover: 6,635 (liquid)
- Theta: -0.037555 (aggressive decay)
- Gamma: 0.270195 (responsive to volatility)
- Payoff (5% up to $8.34): $0.00 (strike not reached)
- Why: High IV and leverage for a breakout play.

Aggressive bulls should consider POET20260123C8 into a test of $8.00, with a stop below $7.14. If $8.00 holds, the 200-day average at $5.47 and 52-week high at $9.41 could fuel a multiwave rally.

Backtest Poet Technologies Stock Performance
The backtest of POET's performance following a 11% intraday increase from 2022 to the present reveals mixed results. While the 30-day win rate is high at 53.97%, the 3-day win rate is moderate at 40.42% and the 10-day win rate is 42.76%. The maximum return during the backtest period was 13.61%, indicating that while there is potential for gains, there is also volatility.

Bullish Inflection Point: POET Poised for AI-Driven Expansion
POET’s 11.2% surge reflects growing conviction in its role as a photonic manufacturing enabler for AI infrastructure. With manufacturing ramps and ODM partnerships in play, the stock’s technicals and fundamentals align for a breakout. Intel’s 2.47% gain in the semiconductor sector adds context, but POET’s unique positioning in CPO/ELS architecture could outpace broader trends. Investors should monitor the $7.14 support level and $8.00 psychological barrier. For those with a high-risk appetite, POET20260123C8 offers a leveraged bet on a sustained rally. If $8.00 breaks, this could signal a new chapter for POET as a hidden infrastructure giant.