Is Pfizer Inc. (PFE) The Most Profitable Cheap Stock to Buy Now?

Generado por agente de IAHenry Rivers
domingo, 4 de mayo de 2025, 11:55 am ET2 min de lectura
PFE--

Pfizer (PFE) has long been a pillar of the pharmaceutical industry, but its post-pandemic trajectory has sparked debate: Is it a "cheap" stock offering outsized profit potential, or a relic of a bygone era? Let’s dissect the data to find out.

Valuation: High Dividend Yield vs. Elevated P/E

Pfizer’s valuation metrics present a paradox. Its P/E ratio of 30.88x as of May 2025 (up sharply from 15.08x in July 2024) suggests investors are pricing in growth expectations, even as pandemic-era revenue drivers like Paxlovid wane. Yet, its 7.5% dividend yield—among the highest in the sector—offers a compelling income play.

The P/E premium isn’t without justification. Pfizer’s cost-cutting measures and pipeline progress (e.g., oncology and obesity drugs) have stabilized margins. However, skeptics argue the stock isn’t "cheap" by traditional metrics. The dividend yield, however, makes it a standout in a low-interest-rate environment.

Financial Performance: Navigating Headwinds

Pfizer’s Q1 2025 earnings showed a 75% drop in Paxlovid sales, but it reaffirmed full-year profit guidance. Net income rose due to cost reductions and strong performance in core therapies like Eliquis (anticoagulant) and Vyndaquel (amyloidosis). Analysts note that non-COVID revenue now accounts for over 90% of total sales, signaling a smoother path ahead.

Analyst Sentiment: Moderate Buy, Wide Price Target Range

Analysts are cautiously bullish. The consensus is a “Moderate Buy” with an average 12-month price target of $27.69 (14% upside from $24.20 in early May). Bulls like Morgan Stanley ($31) and DBS ($30) highlight Pfizer’s diversified pipeline and margin resilience. Bears, such as Goldman Sachs (downgraded to Neutral with a $25 target), cite slowing revenue growth and competitive pressures.

Risks to Consider

  • Paxlovid’s Decline: The drug’s 2022 peak sales of $18 billion are gone, and its contribution to 2025 revenue is negligible.
  • Trade Policy Uncertainty: CEO Albert Bourla has warned that U.S. tariffs could deter domestic manufacturing investments.
  • Pipeline Execution: The obesity drug dangulipron faces stiff competition from Novo Nordisk’s Ozempic, and regulatory hurdles linger.

Conclusion: A Balanced Buy for Income and Growth

Pfizer isn’t a “cheap” stock by P/E multiples, but its 7.5% dividend yield and diversified pipeline (oncology, RSV, obesity) justify its appeal. With a historical beat rate of 100% on earnings estimates and a 14% upside to the average price target, PFE offers a blend of income and growth.

However, investors must acknowledge risks. The stock’s valuation hinges on execution in high-growth areas and navigating macroeconomic headwinds. For a conservative investor seeking dividends and modest growth, PfizerPFE-- fits the bill. For aggressive traders, the RSV vaccine rollout and dangulipron’s potential could amplify returns.

In short, Pfizer is no “value trap”—its fundamentals are strong enough to warrant a buy, but not a “buy the dip” frenzy. Proceed with the conviction that its pipeline will offset pandemic-era declines, and let the 7.5% dividend sweeten the deal.

Final Verdict: Hold for the income, but set realistic expectations for growth.

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