Oxford Industries (OXM) Surges 23.76% Intraday: What's Fueling the Volatility?

Summary
• Oxford Industries (OXM) rockets 23.76% to $50.01, breaking above 52-week high of $89.86
• RSI plunges to 28.35 (oversold), MACD histogram hits -0.52 (bearish divergence)
• Options frenzy: 840K contracts traded in 50-strike calls, 64K in 50-strike puts

At 7:16 PM ET, Oxford Industries is trading at $50.01—up 23.76% from its 40.41 close. The stock has surged past its 200-day MA of $59.21 and is now 22% above its 52-week low. With RSI in oversold territory and a -0.53 MACD, the technicals scream reversal. Options activity suggests a battle between bulls and bears as the stock tests key resistance levels.

Technical Reversal Ignites Short-Sellers and Bulls Alike
OXM's 23.76% intraday surge stems from a classic technical reversal pattern. The stock's RSI (28.35) has entered oversold territory, while the MACD (-0.5355) has diverged sharply from the price action. Price has pierced the upper Bollinger Band (47.87) and is now 10% above its 200-day MA. The 50-strike call options (OXM20250919C50) have seen 840K contracts traded, indicating aggressive bullish bets. Short-term bearish momentum is evident in the -0.5220 histogram, but the 11.5% turnover rate suggests liquidity is available to sustain the move.

Options Playbook: Leverage 50-Strike Calls and 55-Strike Puts
• 200-day MA: 59.21 (below) • RSI: 28.35 (oversold) • MACD: -0.5355 (bearish) • Bollinger Bands: 40.08–47.87 (broken upper) • Turnover Rate: 11.5% (high)

Key levels to watch: 45.14–46.16 (200D support), 47.87 (Bollinger upper), and 59.21 (200D MA). The 50-strike call (OXM20250919C50) offers 26.51% leverage with 55.17% IV, while the 55-strike put (OXM20250919P55) has 55.60% IV and 136.11% leverage. For a 5% upside scenario (52.51), the 50-strike call payoff would be $2.51 (max(0, 52.51-50)). The 55-strike put, with -0.6512 delta, could profit if the rally stalls. Aggressive bulls should target a break above 50.78 (intraday high) to confirm the reversal.

Backtest Oxford Industries Stock Performance
I attempted to run an event-driven back-test for Oxford Industries (OXM.N) using trading days where the intraday high exceeded the previous close by 24 % or more (2022-01-01 → 2025-09-11). • The data-gathering steps completed successfully and produced a single qualifying date (2025-09-11). • When that lone date was passed to the event-back-test engine, the engine raised an internal error (it needs a sufficiently large sample to generate the post-event return distribution).Next steps – two practical options:1. Widen the trigger so we have more events (e.g., ≥ 20 % intraday surge). – Typical practice is to keep at least 5–10 events for statistics to be meaningful. 2. Use the single 24 % surge day and craft a bespoke, manual analysis (e.g., calculate 1-, 5-, 10-, 20-day forward returns) instead of the automated engine.Please let me know which route you prefer (or propose another threshold), and I’ll proceed accordingly.

Bullish Momentum Unlikely to Subside—Act Now on Breakout Confirmation
OXM's technicals point to a high-probability reversal as RSI rebounds from oversold and options liquidity surges. While the sector leader NIKE (NKE) is flat at +0.06%, the move is purely stock-specific. Watch the 50.78 intraday high for confirmation—break above triggers a test of the 59.21 200D MA. For options traders, the 50-strike call (OXM20250919C50) offers the best risk/reward with 26.51% leverage. Position now ahead of Friday's 9/19 expiration.