Oracle (ORCL) Options Signal Bullish Momentum: Key Strike Levels and Trade Setups for Dec 19, 2025

• Oracle’s stock surged 7.6% today, breaking above $193.8 after news of its TikTok partnership.
• Options market shows 73% of open interest in OTM calls vs. puts, with heavy call volume at $200–$280 strikes.
• Goldman Sachs cut its price target to $220, but options traders are betting on a $200+ rebound.

Here’s what’s happening: Oracle’s options activity screams bullish aggression. Traders are piling into calls at strikes far above today’s price—like the $200 and $280 contracts—while puts at $177.5 and $170 suggest a floor near $180. This isn’t just noise—it’s a signal. Let’s break it down.Bullish Bets vs. Defensive Puts: What the Options Say

The options chain tells two stories. First, call open interest is concentrated at extreme levels: 27,375 contracts at the $280 strike (this Friday’s expiry) and 16,346 at $200. That’s not just optimism—it’s a bet Oracle could jump 10%+ in days. Second, put-heavy activity at $177.5 and $170 (14,438 and 12,937 OI) hints some traders expect a pullback to test support near $180. The put/call ratio of 0.82 (calls dominate) confirms the bias: buyers are in control.

But here’s the catch: Oracle’s RSI at 35.7 and MACD histogram (-1.27) still show bearish momentum. A close above $194.75 (today’s high) could flip the script. If not, those puts at $177.5 might get busy.

TikTok Drama and Goldman’s Doubt: How News Shapes the Play

Oracle’s TikTok deal is a headline-grabber. By hosting U.S. data in its cloud, Oracle just landed a high-margin, security-focused client—a win in a sector wary of AI overbuilding. But Goldman’s $220 target cut (from $320) adds friction. The market is pricing in both: bullish bets for the TikTok win, bearish caution over AI spending risks.

This duality matters. Retail traders might chase the TikTok buzz, pushing the stock higher. But if Oracle’s AI data centers underperform (as Goldman fears), the $180–$185 range could become a battleground. Investor sentiment is a seesaw here—leveraging the news requires timing.

Trade Ideas: Calls, Puts, and Precision Entries

For options traders, the ORCL20251219C200 (200-strike call expiring Friday) is a high-conviction play. If Oracle holds above $193.8, this $7.5 strike could explode. Alternatively, a bear call spread using ORCL20251219C197.5 and ORCL20251219C200 offers defined risk if volatility fades.

Stock traders should watch $193.8 (current price) and $188.12 (intraday low). Consider entry near $193.8 with a target at $200 (aligns with call-heavy strikes). If it dips to $188.12, test the $180 support zone—those puts at $177.5 could act as a net buyer’s magnet.Volatility on the Horizon: What’s Next

Oracle isn’t just a tech stock—it’s a geopolitical pawn in TikTok’s U.S. survival. That drama, plus Goldman’s skepticism, means wild swings ahead. The options market is pricing in a $200+ rebound by Friday, but don’t ignore the $180 floor. This is a stock where news and technicals collide. Play it like a poker hand: aggressive if the trend holds, cautious if it falters.

Bottom line: Oracle’s options scream bullish momentum, but the technicals aren’t fully on board. If you’re in, lock in some protection with puts at $180. If you’re out, watch for a breakout above $194.75—it could be the spark that turns this 7.6% rally into something bigger.