One Company Set to Surpass Nvidia's Market Value Next Year: Analysts

In the rapidly evolving tech landscape, one company has emerged as a strong contender to surpass Nvidia's market value in the near future, according to analysts. This company, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC), has been making significant strides in the semiconductor industry, driven by several key factors.

TSMC's dominance in the foundry market is one of the primary factors contributing to its predicted growth. With a 62% share of the global foundry market, TSMC has a strong competitive advantage and pricing power. This market position allows TSMC to benefit from multiple fast-growing end markets, such as AI data center chips, generative AI smartphones, and personal computers. The diverse customer base, which includes major players like Nvidia, Intel, and Apple, further strengthens TSMC's growth prospects.

Another significant factor driving TSMC's growth is the secular growth of the semiconductor industry it serves. The AI semiconductor market, for instance, is expected to grow to $846 billion by 2035. TSMC's leading position in the foundry market and its ability to manufacture chips for major players in this market put it in a prime position to capitalize on this growth.


TSMC's strong margin profile and expected earnings growth also set it apart from other tech giants like Apple and Microsoft. Analysts expect TSMC's earnings to grow slightly faster than Alphabet's in two of the next three years, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to reach $10.15 in 2026. Assuming a continued strong margin profile and leading position in the foundry market, TSMC's earnings could jump to $14.62 per share after five years, sending its market cap to $2.66 trillion.


However, TSMC faces potential risks and challenges that could impact its growth trajectory. The company's reliance on a few key customers and the cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry are two significant risks. To mitigate these risks, TSMC must continue to diversify its customer base and invest in research and development to stay ahead of technological advancements.

In conclusion, TSMC's dominance in the foundry market, strong margin profile, and growth prospects in the semiconductor industry make it a strong contender to surpass Nvidia's market value next year. While risks and challenges exist, TSMC's strategic positioning and focus on innovation position it well for continued growth and success in the tech industry. Investors should closely monitor TSMC's progress and consider its potential as a strong performer in the tech sector.