NuScale Power (SMR) sube un 15,8 % intradía: ¿qué impulsa la volatilidad?

Summary
• NuScale Power (SMR) rockets 15.8% to $16.41, piercing its 52-week high of $57.42 with a 14.1% turnover rate.
• RSI plummets to 17.87, signaling oversold conditions, while options chain volatility spikes to 99.54% on deep-out-of-the-money puts.
• Sector leader Schlumberger (SLB) gains 4.89%, but SMR’s move remains decoupled from energy equipment trends.

At 19:30 ET on 2026-01-02, NuScale Power’s stock has ignited a 15.8% intraday rally, trading at $16.41 after opening at $14.58. The surge defies its -12.2x dynamic P/E and long-term ranging pattern, with options traders scrambling to hedge or speculate on the momentum. The Energy Equipment and Services sector remains muted, suggesting SMR’s move stems from idiosyncratic catalysts.

Options Volatility and Short-Term Catalysts Drive SMR’s Surge
The explosive 15.8% rally in NuScale Power’s stock appears driven by a combination of speculative options activity and short-term momentum. The options chain reveals extreme implied volatility (99.54%) on out-of-the-money puts, with leveraged contracts like SMR20260109P16.5 trading at 17.61% IV and 24.81% leverage. Meanwhile, call options with strike prices near $16–$17 show massive turnover (97,584 shares for SMR20260109C16) and price change ratios exceeding 400%, indicating aggressive bullish positioning. These metrics suggest a short-term catalyst—possibly a regulatory update, partnership, or technical breakout—has triggered a wave of algorithmic and retail-driven buying.

High-Leverage Call Options and Oversold Technicals Signal Aggressive Setup
• 200-day average: $30.54 (far above current price)
• RSI: 17.87 (oversold)
• MACD: -2.75 (negative but narrowing)
• Bollinger Bands: $12.09–$23.47 (current price near lower band)

Technical indicators suggest NuScale Power is in a short-term bearish trend but trading near key support levels. The RSI at 17.87 indicates extreme overselling, while the MACD histogram’s positive divergence hints at potential reversal. Traders should monitor the $16.425 intraday high as a critical resistance level. With no sector-linked ETFs available, options remain the primary vehicle for exposure.

Top Options Picks:
• SMR20260109C16 (Call, $16 strike, 2026-01-09 expiry):
- IV: 93.38% (high)
- Leverage Ratio: 14.89%
- Delta: 0.596 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.100 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.171 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Turnover: 97,584 shares
- Payoff at 5% upside: $1.09 per contract (max(0, 17.23 - 16))
This contract offers a balance of leverage and liquidity, ideal for capitalizing on a breakout above $16.425.

• SMR20260109C16.5 (Call, $16.5 strike, 2026-01-09 expiry):
- IV: 92.19% (high)
- Leverage Ratio: 19.49%
- Delta: 0.508 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.095 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.178 (high sensitivity to price swings)
- Turnover: 57,309 shares
- Payoff at 5% upside: $0.73 per contract (max(0, 17.23 - 16.5))
This option provides higher leverage but requires a stronger price move to offset its higher strike price. Aggressive bulls may consider it as a leveraged play on a sustained breakout.

Hook: If $16.425 holds, SMR20260109C16 offers a high-gamma, high-liquidity path to capitalize on a potential reversal.

Backtest NuScale Power Stock Performance
The strategy of buying the SMR after a 16% intraday surge from 2022 to now delivered moderate returns. The 3-day win rate was 50.48%, the 10-day win rate was 55.00%, and the 30-day win rate was 51.43%. The maximum return during the backtest was 18.87% over 30 days, indicating the strategy's potential for decent gains but with considerable volatility.

Act Now: SMR’s Oversold Setup and Options Volatility Signal High-Risk, High-Reward Opportunity
NuScale Power’s 15.8% intraday surge has created a volatile but potentially lucrative setup for traders. The RSI at 17.87 and Bollinger Bands near the lower bound suggest a short-term rebound is likely, though the stock remains far below its 200-day average of $30.54. Options traders should prioritize the SMR20260109C16 and C16.5 contracts for their high gamma and liquidity, but remain cautious of rapid theta decay. With sector leader Schlumberger (SLB) up 4.89%, broader energy equipment trends could provide additional context if SMR’s momentum persists. Action: Hold for a breakout above $16.425 or exit on a retest of the $14.32 intraday low to lock in gains.