NuScale Power Outlook: Mixed Signals and Weak Technicals

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Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: NuScale Power (SMR.N) is currently in a down trend with a -19.03% price drop and mixed analyst ratings. While recent news hints at broader market activity, the stock is showing poor alignment between fundamentals and price movement.

News Highlights

Key Developments:

• May 27, 2025 – Stryker tops list of West Michigan’s largest publicly traded companies. While Stryker's 10.2% revenue growth is positive for the region, it highlights how SMR.N is underperforming against peers.
• May 6, 2025 – Independent Bank (INDB) director proposes to sell $3.5M in shares. This could signal cautious sentiment in the broader financial sector, possibly affecting small-cap stocks like SMR.N.
• May 21, 2025 – SEC Form S-3ASR filed by SouthState Corporation. While not directly related, such filings indicate heightened market activity, which may draw attention away from less-followed stocks like NuScale.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Analyst Consensus:

• Average Rating Score (simple mean): 4.00
• Weighted Rating Score (performance-weighted): 0.00
• Rating Consistency: Dispersed (last 20 days have seen "Strong Buy" and "Neutral" ratings from B. Riley Securities and Goldman Sachs, respectively).
• Alignment with Price Trend: The recent price drop (-19.03%) aligns with the overall pessimism in analyst sentiment. The lack of a consistent positive signal is a red flag.

Key Fundamental Factors:

• Revenue-MV: -4.82 (internal diagnostic score: 2)
• Net assets per share (growth rate %): 24.38% (score: 3)
• Net income-Revenue: -13.33% (score: 1)
• PB-ROE: 10.52x (score: 3)
• Basic EPS growth (YoY %): -95.71% (score: 3)
• Total profit (YoY %): -257.20% (score: 2)
• Asset-MV: -0.44 (score: 0)

The weak fundamentals, especially the large decline in net income and earnings per share, suggest that the company is struggling despite some positive asset growth. The internal diagnostic score of 3.83 reflects a challenging environment.

Money-Flow Trends

Big Money vs. Retail:

• Overall Inflow Ratio: 47.67% (fund-flow score: 7.75, labeled as “good”)
• Large- and Extra-Large Inflow Ratios: 50.59% and 47.05%, respectively, showing some support from big-money players.
• Small- and Medium Inflow Ratios: 48.21% and 47.56%, indicating retail sentiment is mixed but generally weak.
• Overall Trend: Negative for all sizes, including “block” trades.

Though big money is showing slight positive inflow, the overall trend remains bearish, and the mismatch between large- and small-cap flows suggests diverging expectations.

Key Technical Signals

Internal Diagnostic Scores (0-10):

• Long Upper Shadow: 6.23 – neutral rise
• Long Lower Shadow: 3.54 – neutral rise
• WR Oversold: 1.92 – neutral bias

Recent Chart Patterns (Last 5 Days):

• 2025-12-19: Long Upper Shadow, WR Oversold
• 2025-12-17 & 2025-12-18: WR Oversold
• 2025-12-22: Long Upper Shadow
• 2025-12-16: Long Lower Shadow, WR Oversold

Key Insights: The technical side is weak, with 2 bearish indicators versus 0 bullish. The stock is in a volatile and indecisive state. The internal diagnostic score is 3.9, suggesting a cautious approach is warranted.

Conclusion

Actionable Takeaway: Given the weak technicals, poor analyst performance, and mixed fundamentals, investors should consider avoiding NuScale Power at this time. If holding, watch for a potential rebound or more favorable fundamental shifts. In the near term, wait for a clear breakout or positive earnings revision before re-evaluating any position.