NRG Energy's Q4 Earnings Expected to Surge 21.6% YoY

NRG Energy, a power company, has seen its stock return +6.9% over the past month. Analysts expect earnings of $2.25 per share for the current quarter, a +21.6% change from last year. For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate is $7.93, a +19.4% change from last year. The Zacks Rank is #3 (Hold) based on earnings estimate revisions.

NRG Energy Inc. (NYSE: NRG) has seen its stock price rise by 6.9% over the past month, reaching a current level of $152.05 [1]. This increase follows a robust 3.77% rise over the past month and a significant 86.20% gain over the past year. The company's stock price has been volatile, dropping by 0.32% in the current market session [1].

Analysts expect NRG Energy to report earnings of $2.25 per share for the current quarter, a 21.6% increase from last year's earnings. For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate stands at $7.93, marking a 19.4% year-over-year increase [2]. Despite these positive earnings expectations, the Zacks Rank remains at #3 (Hold) based on earnings estimate revisions [2].

The company's recent financial performance has been mixed. NRG Energy reported a GAAP net loss of $104 million for the second quarter of 2025, but an adjusted net income of $339 million and adjusted EBITDA of $909 million. The company reaffirmed its 2025 financial guidance, targeting adjusted net income between $1,330 million and $1,530 million, adjusted EPS between $6.75 and $7.75, and adjusted EBITDA between $3,725 million and $3,975 million [2].

NRG Energy has been actively pursuing strategic initiatives to improve its financial performance. The company signed long-term retail agreements for data centers, executed a loan agreement for the Texas Energy Fund, and is advancing due diligence on additional projects [2]. These initiatives aim to enhance the company's operational efficiency and generate additional revenue streams.

In summary, while NRG Energy's stock price has shown strong growth over the past year, the company's financial performance has been mixed. The current earnings expectations are positive, but the Zacks Rank suggests caution. Investors should closely monitor the company's progress on its strategic initiatives and financial guidance to assess the potential for further stock price appreciation.

References:
[1] https://www.benzinga.com/insights/news/25/08/47043209/price-over-earnings-overview-nrg-energy
[2] https://www.ainvest.com/news/nrg-energy-posts-robust-q2-2025-earnings-net-loss-2508/