NRG Energy's $260M Volume Ranks 374th as Analysts Predict 28% Upside Amid Mixed Earnings Revisions and Market Skepticism

On August 28, 2025, NRG Energy (NRG) traded with a volume of $260 million, ranking 374th in market activity. The stock rose 0.36%, reflecting modest short-term momentum.

Analyst sentiment remains cautiously optimistic. Twelve analysts have issued ratings in the past year, with 10 recommending a "Buy" and 2 a "Hold." The average 12-month price target of $186.92 implies a 28.67% upside from its current level. Recent coverage includes upgrades from Barclays, BMO Capital, and Citigroup, with price targets ranging from $99 to $308.

Earnings estimates show mixed revisions. For fiscal 2025, the consensus EPS of $7.93 reflects a 2.1% increase over the past month, though estimates for the next fiscal year ($9.25) have declined by 3.6%. Revenue projections for the current and next fiscal years are up +6.6% and +31.3%, respectively, signaling long-term growth potential. However, the Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) underscores the need for caution, as earnings revisions have been inconsistent.

Valuation metrics suggest NRG is undervalued relative to peers. It holds a Zacks Value Style Score of B, with a forward P/E ratio of 18.7X and a PEG ratio of 1.2. Despite these indicators, the stock’s recent 11.1% decline over a month highlights market skepticism about near-term performance. Strong historical earnings surprises (26.2% average) and solid revenue beats may support a gradual recovery.

Backtesting efforts to assess NRG’s historical performance were limited by data constraints, with the query exceeding available resources.