Noah Holdings NOAH 2025Q1 Earnings Preview Downside Risk Amid Lower Analyst Revenue Expectations

Forward-Looking Analysis
Noah Holdings is set to announce its Q1 2025 earnings on May 28, 2025. Analysts have expressed concerns following a Q4 2024 revenue report of $89.31 million, which missed the forecasted $102.07 million. This disparity has led to a downward revision in expectations for Q1 2025. The stock's recent performance has been lackluster, with a 12.9% decline since the last earnings report. The consensus 12-month price target for Noah Holdings is between $11.5 and $13, with an average target of $12.5. This indicates cautious optimism among analysts, though the recent earnings performance has cast a shadow on near-term prospects. There is an emphasis on EPS, with the trailing twelve-month figure at 6.78, yet no specific Q1 2025 EPS estimate has been disclosed in the provided summaries.

Historical Performance Review
In Q4 2024, Noah Holdings reported a significant achievement with a revenue of $651.91 million and a net income of $113.68 million. This translated to an EPS of $0.31. The gross profit matched the revenue, indicating effective cost management.

Additional News
Noah Holdings continues its role as a leading wealth management service provider for global Chinese high-net-worth investors. The company is also noted for its active presence in both the NYSE and HKEX under the ticker symbols NOAH and 6686, respectively. However, since the last earnings release, the stock has declined by 12.9%, reflecting a potentially volatile market response. The upcoming earnings call scheduled for May 28, 2025, is anticipated to provide further insights into the company’s strategies and financial health.

Summary & Outlook
Despite Noah Holdings' robust historical performance in Q4 2024, the recent decline in stock value suggests a cautious outlook. The missed revenue expectations in the previous quarter and subsequent negative stock performance indicate potential headwinds. However, the company's strong position in wealth management provides a solid foundation. Analysts’ price targets imply moderate confidence in Noah's ability to rebound. Overall, the outlook remains neutral, with careful attention to upcoming earnings as a key indicator of future performance.