Newsmax Outlook: Un análisis detallado de la situación técnica bajista

Market Snapshot

Headline Takeaway: Newsmax (NMAX.N) is showing a bearish trend with a sharp price decline of -12.11% recently. Our internal diagnostic score for technicals is just 1.0 (on a 0–10 scale), suggesting strong risk of further decline.

News Highlights

Recent headlines include major U.S. policy changes on Covid-19 vaccine approvals, tariff adjustments affecting global trade, and China’s slowing factory activity, all of which contribute to a general economic uncertainty. Notably, a single analyst, Michael Kupinski from Noble Capital Markets, issued a “Buy” rating on August 21, 2025, despite a historical win rate of 0% and average return of -15.00%.

These mixed signals suggest a market still grappling with broader macroeconomic concerns and uncertain regulatory shifts.

Analyst Views & Fundamentals

Average Rating Score: 4.00 (simple mean), while the weighted rating score is a dismal 0.00, indicating a lack of alignment between analyst sentiment and actual performance.

Ratings Consistency: Dispersed. The single “Buy” recommendation contrasts sharply with the current falling price trend and bearish technical indicators.

Key Fundamental Factors (Internal Diagnostic Scores):

• Revenue-MV: Value = -1.53 (Model Score = 0.70)
• Net assets per share (growth rate %): Value = -40.58% (Model Score = 0.70)
• Net cash flow from operating activities / Operating revenue: Value = -78.15% (Model Score = 0.70)
• Net income-Revenue: Value = -13.38% (Model Score = 0.70)
• Profit-MV: Value = 49.15% (Model Score = 0.70)
• Operating cycle: Value = 63.80 (Model Score = 0.70)
• Cash-UP: Value = 45.18% (Model Score = 0.70)

Most fundamentals are either negative or weak, with internal diagnostic scores across the board at a low 0.70, signaling structural fragility in the company’s financial health.

Money-Flow Trends

Big-money vs. Retail: Despite a generally negative overall trend, large and extra-large investors are slightly more optimistic, with inflow ratios of 51.01% and 48.18% respectively. However, small and medium investors are less engaged, with inflow ratios of 48.65% and 51.30%, showing a fragmented landscape. The overall inflow ratio is at 49.13%, hovering just below 50% — suggesting cautious market behavior overall.

Key Technical Signals

Newsmax’s chart pattern is dominated by bearish signals, with a technical score of just 1.0. Here’s a breakdown of the key indicators:

• Bearish Engulfing: Internal diagnostic score = 1.0 (Biased bearish; historical avg return = -9.21%)
• Dark Cloud Cover: Score = 1.0 (Biased bearish; avg return = -3.45%)
• Long Upper Shadow: Score = 1.0 (Biased bearish; avg return = -6.23%)
• MACD Death Cross: Score = 1.0 (Biased bearish; avg return = -12.20%)
• Piercing Pattern: Score = 1.0 (Biased bearish; avg return = -8.93%)

Notable recent signals include:

• Dec 19, 2025:Long Upper Shadow
• Dec 17, 2025:Bearish Engulfing + Dark Cloud Cover
• Dec 12, 2025:Dark Cloud Cover

The 5 bearish indicators versus 0 bullish suggest a strong downward bias in technical momentum and a poor trend quality.

Conclusion

With a technical score of 1.0, a fundamental score of 0.70, and bearish chart patterns dominating, Newsmax appears to be a high-risk stock in the short term. The single “Buy” rating from Noble Capital Markets contrasts sharply with the broader market sentiment. Given the recent pullback of -12.11% and the weak technical and fundamental profile, investors are advised to consider waiting for a more favorable entry point or to closely monitor the stock for a potential reversal in momentum.