Natera Surges 7.70% as Technical Indicators Signal Bullish Momentum

Comprehensive Technical Analysis of Natera (NTRA)
Natera (NTRA) rose 7.70% in the most recent session, marking a two-day cumulative gain of 10.01%, with closing prices reaching 151.95 after testing resistance at 165.09. This follows a broader recovery from recent lows near 133.66, suggesting renewed bullish momentum.
Candlestick Theory
The latest session formed a robust bullish candle with a long upper wick (high: 165.09, close: 151.95), indicating rejection near 165–170 resistance. This aligns with the 2025-06-20 peak (173.50) and the 2025-01-19 high (173.17), establishing a critical resistance zone. Support is evident at 135–138, validated by the 2025-07-31 low (133.23) and the 2025-08-04 to 2025-08-06 consolidation. The current rejection near 165 may foreshadow short-term consolidation, though consecutive green candles signal underlying strength.
Moving Average Theory
Short-term trends show bullish momentum as the 50-day MA (143.20) crosses above the 100-day MA (140.75). The 200-day MA (138.90) anchors long-term support, with price holding firmly above all three MAs—a hallmark of an uptrend. The 50/100-day golden crossover reinforces bullish sentiment, while sustained trading above the 200-day MA underscores structural strength. A close below 150 could challenge immediate bullishness, but current alignment suggests upward continuity.
MACD & KDJ Indicators
MACD (12,26,9) exhibits a bullish crossover above the signal line, with histogram bars expanding positively—confirming accelerating upward momentum. KDJ (14,3,3) shows the K-line (78) and D-line (72) in overbought territory but maintaining upward slopes, implying persistent buying pressure. While not yet divergent, KDJ’s overbought stance suggests near-term pullback risk. MACD’s consistency supports the broader uptrend.
Bollinger Bands
Price breached the upper Bollinger Band (20-day, 2σ) at 165.09 before closing back within bands (current band width: 142–158), signaling a volatility expansion after recent consolidation. This breakout suggests follow-through potential if volume confirms. The contraction-to-expansion shift may precede directional continuity, with the midline (150) now acting as dynamic support.
Volume-Price Relationship
Recent gains are validated by rising volume—384.9K shares traded vs. the prior session’s 331.9K—underscoring buyer conviction. Notable volume surges accompanied the 2025-04-09 rally (151.97, +14.93%) and the 2025-08-08 surge, reinforcing key resistance/support levels. Declining volume during the 2025-07-10 to 2025-07-14 downtrend lacked capitulation, suggesting corrective rather than reversal behavior. Current volume-price synergy supports bullish bias.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI(14) reads 68, approaching overbought territory (>70) but retaining upward momentum. The absence of divergence—price and RSI peaked simultaneously—tempers reversal concerns. Historically, RSI has respected the 30–70 range since April 2025, with only the 2025-03-12 peak (87) flagging exhaustion. Current readings suggest room for further upside before overextension.
Fibonacci Retracement
Using the swing low from 2025-07-31 (133.23) and the 2025-06-20 high (173.50):
- Key retracement levels: 23.6% (138.18), 38.2% (142.94), 50% (146.61).
Price rebounded sharply from the 38.2% level (142.94), confirming its significance as support. The 61.8% level (150.28) now aligns with Bollinger Midline support. Confluence near 150–152 offers a tactical entry zone, while surpassing 161.8% (159.27) may target 173.50.
Confluence and Divergence Observations
Strong confluence exists at 150–152 (50% Fibonacci, 20-day MA, and Bollinger Midline), providing high-probability support. Resistance at 165–170 harmonizes swing highs and Bollinger Upper Band rejection. No material divergences are observed—MACD, RSI, and volume align with price momentum. However, KDJ’s overbought reading warrants caution for near-term consolidation before another leg upward. The overall technical structure favors continued upside, with a decisive break above 170 required to confirm trend acceleration.
Conclusion
Natera’s technical posture remains bullish, supported by moving average alignment, MACD confirmation, and robust volume. While overbought KDJ and RSI near 70 may trigger short-term consolidation near 150–155, the confluence of Fibonacci support and moving averages limits downside risk. A sustained breach of 165–170 resistance would signal an extended rally toward historical highs near 173–175.