Nasdaq 100 Elliott Wave Analysis: Decoding Corrective Dynamics and Strategic Entry Points for a B-Wave Rally
The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has entered a critical juncture in its Elliott Wave structure, with market participants closely monitoring the unfolding corrective pattern and its implications for a potential B-wave rally. As the index trades near 24,550, the interplay between wave dynamics and technical indicators suggests a high-probability scenario for a late-stage bullish breakout, provided key pivot levels hold. This analysis synthesizes recent Elliott Wave insights to outline tactical entry points for investors seeking to capitalize on the next phase of the uptrend.
Elliott Wave Structure: A Corrective Reset in a Larger Bullish Cycle
The NDX's current correction aligns with a textbook Wave 4 retracement within a larger impulsive bullish cycle that began in April 2025. According to a report by , the index completed a five-wave impulse structure from the early April low, before entering a corrective phase. This correction has unfolded as a double three structure, with the NDX in late November 2025-a level consistent with the ideal W-4 target zone.
. As stated by , the index's ability to hold above this level would validate the broader bullish case, with . Conversely, a close below 24,000 .
B-Wave Implications: A Rally to 26,700?
The potential for a B-wave rally in December 2025 hinges on the completion of Wave 4 and the resumption of Wave 5. Historical patterns suggest that a B-wave often recovers lost ground after a failed third wave, a dynamic observed in the NDX's recent structure. According to , the index's Wave 4 correction mirrors Bitcoin's synchronized decline, reinforcing the idea that both assets are in a coordinated reset phase.
The ideal target for the NDX's Wave 4 lies between 24,000 and 24,300, with technical indicators showing positive divergences . If the index consolidates in this range and breaks higher, , with a . , as outlined by FXEmpire in their analysis.
Tactical Entry Points for Late-Stage Bullish Positioning
For investors seeking to position for a B-wave rally, . A weekly close above 24,707.1-a key pivot level-would confirm the completion of Wave 4 and provide a clear buy signal. Additionally, the 65-minute chart shows five-wave advances , .
However, caution is warranted. , , potentially invalidating the bullish case. Investors should also , .
Conclusion
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