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Summary
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MP Materials has surged over 5.89% in a single trading session, driven by a strategic joint venture with Saudi Arabia’s Maaden and the U.S. Department of War. The stock’s sharp move has outpaced its sector peers, with options activity and technical indicators suggesting sustained momentum. Traders are now weighing the implications of this partnership and broader critical minerals demand trends.
Strategic Joint Venture with Saudi Maaden Drives Momentum
MP’s 5.89% rally is directly tied to its announced partnership with Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) and the U.S. Department of War to develop a rare earth refinery in Saudi Arabia. This collaboration aligns with the U.S.-Saudi strategic framework to secure critical mineral supply chains, addressing vulnerabilities exposed by Chinese export restrictions. The refinery project positions
Sector Gains Momentum as USAR Leads Charge
The Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector has seen mixed performance, but MP’s 5.89% gain outpaces sector leader USA Rare Earth (USAR), which rose 3.10%. The sector’s focus on critical minerals—driven by U.S. policy initiatives and geopolitical tensions—has created a favorable backdrop. MP’s strategic refinery partnership and Maaden’s regional expertise give it an edge over peers like Critical Metals (CRML) and Lithium Americas (LAC), which face higher operational risks. The sector’s long-term outlook remains bullish, with MP’s project offering a clear catalyst for near-term gains.
Leveraged ETFs and Options Playbook: Capitalizing on MP’s Breakout
• 200-day average: $50.11 (well below current price)
• RSI: 68.32 (overbought but not extreme)
• MACD: -1.05 (bullish divergence with price)
• Bollinger Bands: Price at $63.345, above upper band ($61.86)
MP’s technicals suggest a continuation of its bullish trend. The stock is trading above its 200-day average and within a short-term bullish pattern, with RSI indicating overbought conditions that could persist due to strong fundamentals. The Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MP ETF (MPL) and Leverage Shares 2X Long MP Daily ETF (MPG) offer amplified exposure, with MPL up 11.96% today. For options, two contracts stand out:
• (Call):
- Strike: $61, Expiry: 2026-01-16
- IV: 76.35% (high volatility)
- Delta: 0.6101 (moderate sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.2947 (rapid time decay)
- Gamma: 0.0485 (high sensitivity to price changes)
- Turnover: 96,551
- Leverage Ratio: 15.54%
- Payoff at 5% Upside: $1.18 per contract
- This call benefits from high gamma and leverage, ideal for a short-term rally.
• (Put):
- Strike: $57, Expiry: 2026-01-16
- IV: 63.34% (moderate volatility)
- Delta: -0.1685 (low sensitivity)
- Theta: -0.0359 (slow time decay)
- Gamma: 0.0383 (moderate sensitivity)
- Turnover: 5,496
- Leverage Ratio: 94.88%
- Payoff at 5% Upside: $0.00 (out-of-the-money)
- This put offers downside protection with high leverage, though it’s out-of-the-money.
Aggressive bulls should prioritize MP20260116C61 for a short-term rally, while hedgers may use MP20260116P57 to cap losses. Watch for a break above $64.08 to confirm the bullish case.
Backtest MP Materials Stock Performance
The backtest of Microsoft's (MP) performance after a 6% intraday increase from 2022 to the present shows favorable short-term gains, highlighting the stock's potential for quick price appreciation. However, the overall returns over longer periods are more modest, indicating that while MP can offer short-term profits, it may not lead to significant long-term gains.
MP’s Rally Gains Legs: Sector Leaders and Options Signal High Conviction
MP’s 5.89% surge is underpinned by a strategic refinery partnership and favorable technicals, with the stock poised to test its 52-week high of $100.25. The sector’s focus on critical minerals—bolstered by U.S. policy and geopolitical shifts—creates a tailwind for MP and peers like USAR (+3.10%). Traders should monitor the $64.08 intraday high as a key resistance level and consider the MP20260116C61 call for a short-term breakout play. With the sector’s long-term thesis intact, MP’s rally could extend if the refinery project gains regulatory traction.
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Titulares diarios de acciones y criptomonedas, gratis en tu bandeja de entrada