Moog A's 15min chart shows Bollinger Bands Narrowing, KDJ Death Cross, Bearish Marubozu.

The 15-minute chart for Moog A has recently exhibited a narrowing of Bollinger Bands, accompanied by a KDJ Death Cross and a Bearish Marubozu at 06/10/2025 15:30. These indicators suggest that the magnitude of stock price fluctuations is decreasing, momentum is shifting towards the downside, and there is a potential for further decreases in stock price. Sellers are in control of the market, and there is a likelihood that bearish momentum will continue.

Moog Inc. (NYSE: MOG.A, MOG.B), a key supplier to the aerospace and defense industry, has seen its stock price decline by 16.6% since the last coverage in November 2024, despite the S&P 500's flat performance. The company's financial outlook has been weighed down by trade-related headwinds and persistent aerospace supply chain disruptions. Moog's Q2 2025 earnings report and the recent market indicators provide insights into the company's current challenges and future prospects.

Moog's Q2 2025 earnings report highlighted several key points. Total sales were guided at $3.7 billion, with adjusted profit and adjusted profit margin maintained at $482 million and 13%, respectively. However, these figures exclude tariff pressures, which are estimated to add $10 million to $20 million in net pressures. Including these tariffs, the guidance for adjusted profit is $462 million to $472 million, with margins indicating around 12.5% to 12.75%. The company also expects free cash flow generation of 50% rather than the previously expected 50% to 75%, reflecting the impact of supply chain disruptions [1].

The aerospace supply chain remains a significant challenge for Moog. The company has faced reduced order activity from Airbus, particularly on the A350 program, due to misaligned supply chain parts for higher production rates. This has resulted in downward pressure on free cash flow. Additionally, Moog's Industrial segment faced a decline in sales due to divestitures and product exits, further pressuring overall revenues [1].

Recent market indicators suggest that Moog's stock price may continue to face downward pressure. The 15-minute chart for Moog A has exhibited a narrowing of Bollinger Bands, a KDJ Death Cross, and a Bearish Marubozu at 06/10/2025 15:30. These indicators suggest that the magnitude of stock price fluctuations is decreasing, momentum is shifting towards the downside, and there is a potential for further decreases in stock price. Sellers are in control of the market, and there is a likelihood that bearish momentum will continue [2].

Despite these challenges, the investment case for Moog remains compelling for mid-to-long-term oriented investors. The company's strong demand trends and significantly reduced risk in the business provide a solid foundation for growth. While the company's valuation is currently overvalued compared to peers, the demand trends and reduced risk suggest that the stock may offer upside potential in the long term.

References:
[1] https://seekingalpha.com/article/4792296-moog-supply-chain-and-trade-turbulence-weigh-on-2025-outlook
[2] https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MOOG-INC-13587/