T-Mobile Stock Surges 5.80% to $247.50 as Technicals Signal Strong Bullish Momentum

Candlestick Theory
T-Mobile US (TMUS) exhibits a robust bullish pattern, closing at $247.50 after a 5.80% surge on July 24, 2025. This marks the fifth consecutive bullish candle, forming a strong uptrend with expanding ranges and higher highs. Key resistance is evident near the $251.75 intraday high, aligning with the psychological $250 level and historical peaks. Support emerges around $226.24–$225.28, validated by recent consolidation lows. The absence of reversal patterns like doji or evening stars suggests sustained upward momentum, though a new resistance test at $250 may trigger short-term profit-taking.
Moving Average Theory
The 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages confirm a bullish trend structure. The 50-day MA (~$230) and 100-day MA (~$225) both slope upward, with the price trading comfortably above all three averages. The 200-day MA (~$218) provides a solid long-term foundation. A bullish MA crossover occurred in mid-July as the 50-day MA crossed above the 100-day MA, reinforcing strength. This multi-timeframe alignment indicates persistent buying pressure, though a breach below the 50-day MA would signal caution.
MACD & KDJ Indicators
MACD shows a strong bullish signal, with the MACD line accelerating above the signal line and a widening histogram reflecting growing momentum. KDJ analysis reveals overbought conditions, with the K-line (~85) and D-line (~82) elevated and the J-line (~91) peaking near extreme territory. While KDJ suggests a potential near-term pullback due to overextension, MACD divergence remains absent, implying the primary uptrend is intact. Confluence exists in their agreement on momentum strength, but KDJ’s overbought reading warrants vigilance for profit-taking.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility has expanded notably, with the 20-day Bollinger Bands widening after a contraction in early July. Price action is testing the upper band ($250–$252), reflecting bullish exuberance. Bandwidth expansion supports continuation potential, but the proximity to the upper band and the surge’s magnitude increase near-term mean-reversion risk. Initial support lies at the middle band (~$235), which has dynamically risen with the trend. A consolidation near the upper band would be healthier than a sharp reversal.
Volume-Price Relationship
Volume trends validate the rally’s sustainability, with July 24’s surge occurring on 8.62M shares—significantly above the 50-day average volume (~4.5M). This breakout volume, coupled with ascending volume over the five-day uptrend, confirms accumulation. Notably, volume expanded during up days and contracted during minor pullbacks (e.g., July 17–18), reinforcing bullish conviction. The volume-weighted average price (VWAP) for July aligns with the rally, providing additional technical support.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The 14-day RSI currently reads ~75, crossing into overbought territory. While this may foreshadow a near-term consolidation, the indicator should be interpreted cautiously. RSI divergence is absent, and readings above 70 are common in strong trends. The RSI’s upward trajectory since mid-June (from ~30 oversold levels) corroborates building momentum. A dip below 70 could trigger short-term selling, but the primary trend remains robust unless RSI breaks key trendline support at ~60.
Fibonacci Retracement
Applying Fibonacci to the swing low of $221.52 (June 20, 2025) and swing high of $276.49 (March 3, 2025), key retracement levels emerge. The 38.2% ($242.50) and 50% ($249.00) levels have acted as resistance, with the price currently testing the 50% zone. A close above $249 could propel TMUS toward the 61.8% retracement at $255.50. Confluence exists near $250, where Fibonacci, psychological resistance, and the recent high converge. Sustained buying above $249 would confirm bullish breakout potential.