MINISO Set to Release Q4 Earnings Amidst Mixed Expectations

MINISO Group Holding (MNSO) is set to release Q4 earnings on August 21st, with analysts projecting EPS of $0.24 and a 25.2% revenue jump to $677.28 million. MNSO has a history of exceeding earnings expectations, outperforming estimates 88% of the time. Wall Street analysts have an average one-year price target of $22.71, with a consensus recommendation of 2.1, indicating an "Outperform" rating. The estimated GF Value is $33.71, suggesting a potential upside of 61.76% from the current trading price.

Title: MINISO Group Holding (MNSO) Awaits Q4 Earnings Amid Strong Analyst Expectations

MINISO Group Holding (MNSO), a global retailer of lifestyle and pop toy products, is set to release its Q4 earnings on August 21st, before the market opens. Analysts are projecting an EPS of $0.24, representing a 20.0% year-over-year (YoY) decline, and a revenue estimate of $677.28 million, indicating a 25.2% YoY increase [1].

Over the past two years, MINISO Group Holding has consistently exceeded earnings estimates, with a 88% success rate in beating EPS and revenue projections. In the last three months, however, there has been a notable downward revision in EPS estimates, while revenue estimates have remained relatively stable [1].

In the second quarter of 2025, MINISO Group reported adjusted earnings per ADS of RMB2.24 ($0.31), surpassing analyst estimates of RMB1.75 by RMB0.49. Revenue reached RMB4.97 billion ($693.2 million), representing a 23.1% YoY increase. The company's mainland China operations and its TOP TOY brand demonstrated strong growth, with the latter's revenue surging 87% YoY to RMB402.2 million [2].

MINISO Group's overseas expansion continued, with 554 net new stores added YoY, bringing the total global store count to 7,905. Notably, 74.5% of new stores opened in the past twelve months were in overseas markets [2].

Wall Street analysts have set an average one-year price target of $22.71 for MINISO Group, with a consensus recommendation of 2.1, indicating an "Outperform" rating. The estimated GF Value is $33.71, suggesting a potential upside of 61.76% from the current trading price [3].

Institutional investors have recently increased their stakes in MINISO Group. KEYWISE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, for instance, increased its stake by 76.6%, now owning over 9 million shares valued at approximately $219.8 million [3].

Looking ahead, MINISO Group's CFO, Eason Zhang, noted that the company expects revenue growth to accelerate for the remainder of 2025. This positive outlook, coupled with the company's strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, makes investors eager to see the Q4 results.

# References:
[1] https://seekingalpha.com/news/4487529-miniso-group-holding-q4-2025-earnings-preview
[2] https://www.investing.com/news/earnings/miniso-group-shares-rise-as-q2-earnings-beat-expectations-93CH-4203720
[3] https://www.marketbeat.com/instant-alerts/miniso-group-nysemnso-shares-up-52-whats-next-2025-08-18/