Market Volatility and Earnings Surprise: A Q1 2025 Update from Turtle Creek

The first quarter of 2025 started positively, driven by President Trump's re-election and market optimism. However, fears of the administration's chaotic tariff policy led to market declines and the flagship fund's performance suffered. Despite this, the underlying companies in the portfolio reported strong earnings, with all but one meeting or exceeding expectations. However, Bread Financial and TFI International were significant detractors to the fund's performance. The market's reaction to the companies' earnings and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the tariff policy have led to extreme price volatility.