Market Overview for XRP/Tether (XRPUSDT) – November 2, 2025

• XRP/Tether (XRPUSDT) closed 0.27% higher at 2.5416 after a strong rebound from 2.4932 earlier in the session.
• Strong volume expansion during the final 6 hours suggests renewed buyer participation amid tightening Bollinger Bands.
• RSI climbed to 52, showing moderate momentum, while 20-period MA crossed above 50-period MA, signaling short-term bullish bias.
• A key support at 2.5100 held firm, while resistance remains around 2.5300–2.5400.
• Divergences between price and volume were minimal, supporting the validity of recent buying pressure.

24-Hour Snapshot

XRP/Tether (XRPUSDT) opened at 2.4939 on November 1, 2025, at 12:00 ET, and closed at 2.5416 at 12:00 ET on November 2. The pair reached a high of 2.5549 and a low of 2.4873 over the past 24 hours. Total traded volume was approximately 35,397,809.7 XRP, while notional turnover stood at $87.2M. Price showed a definitive recovery, particularly in the early morning and midday hours, with volume increasing sharply during key breakout moments.

Structure & Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, XRPUSDT appears to have formed a bullish continuation pattern as the price held above key support at 2.5100 and rose above the 20-period MA (2.525) after a cross-over above the 50-period MA (2.516). The 50-period MA is also approaching the 100-period MA from below, indicating possible acceleration in upward momentum. On the daily chart, the 200-period MA remains at ~2.455, suggesting the rally is still within the broader uptrend. A consolidation phase could be forming at 2.5200–2.5400 ahead of a potential test of the next key resistance at 2.5700.

MACD & RSI

The 15-minute MACD histogram shifted from negative to positive in the final hours of the session, confirming a reversal in momentum. RSI rose to 52 from ~36 at the session low, showing that the oversold condition has improved but is not yet overbought. While not signaling a high-risk overbought zone just yet, the RSI is approaching the 55–60 range, which historically precedes overbought conditions in XRP pairs during similar volatility cycles. Momentum appears to be building, but caution is warranted if the RSI closes above 60 without a corresponding increase in volume.

Bollinger Bands & Volatility

Volatility has shown a moderate expansion after a period of contraction, with the 20-period Bollinger Bands widening from ~2.495 to 2.545. The price closed near the upper band at 2.5549, indicating strength and suggesting a possible continuation of the bullish move if the bands do not re-converge quickly. The upper band currently resides at ~2.545, and a close above that level could trigger a new phase of upward bias. Meanwhile, the lower band sits at ~2.490, offering a defined risk zone for short-term traders.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci to the recent 15-minute swing from the low at 2.4873 to the high at 2.5549, the 23.6% retracement level is at ~2.523, the 38.2% at ~2.517, and the 61.8% at ~2.510. The price has held above the 61.8% level, suggesting strong short-term support. On a daily basis, the 61.8% retracement from the 2025 high remains at ~2.580, a critical psychological level that could see increased buying pressure if reached.

Volume & Turnover

Volume increased significantly during the final hours of the session, with the 3-hour window from 11:45 to 15:00 ET seeing the highest notional turnover at ~$3.8M. This volume was accompanied by a clear price increase, suggesting strong participation and conviction from buyers. The 6-hour period from 08:00 to 14:00 ET accounted for ~55% of total volume, confirming that this was the core of the buying momentum. No significant divergence was observed between price and volume, supporting the view that the rally is genuine and not speculative.

Forward Outlook

The next 24 hours could see XRPUSDT testing the 2.5300–2.5400 consolidation range and potentially breaking above to test 2.5550 as the next target. A close above 2.555 would signal a potential continuation of the bullish trend. Traders should watch for a pullback to the 20-period MA (~2.525) as a possible entry level. Conversely, a drop below 2.5100 would invalidate the current bullish bias and could trigger a test of the 2.4900 support zone. Volatility is expected to remain elevated as the market approaches key Fibonacci and moving average thresholds.

Backtest Hypothesis

The proposed RSI-based strategy (buy at RSI ≤ 30, sell at RSI ≥ 70) appears well-aligned with the recent price and momentum structure of XRPUSDT. The pair has spent significant time in the 35–65 RSI range over the past 30 days, suggesting a relatively active trading environment for the strategy. The recent rebound from 2.4873 (RSI ~36) and the current RSI of ~52 indicate the asset may be transitioning into overbought territory in the coming hours, which could be a potential trigger for the sell rule. However, the lack of a complete daily price series for the back-test engine remains a barrier to execution. Given the current volatility and volume profile, an event-driven back-test—measuring returns from oversold entries to overbought exits—could provide a preliminary sense of the strategy’s viability. This could be implemented as an interim step while historical daily prices are retrieved and aligned with the existing signal data.