Market Overview: World Liberty Financial USD (USD1USDT) – 24-Hour Technical Summary

• Price traded narrowly within a 1.0–1.0004 range, suggesting consolidation amid low volatility.
• A late-night bearish breakout below 1.0001 confirmed short-term downside momentum.
• Volume surged after 4:30 AM ET, aligning with price weakness but showing no follow-through strength.
• RSI remains neutral below 50, while MACD shows bearish divergence with price.
• Bollinger Bands tightened during consolidation before a break, signaling potential directional clarity.

World Liberty Financial USD (ticker: USD1USDT) opened at 1.0002 on 2025-08-23 12:00 ET and traded as high as 1.0004 and as low as 0.9999 before closing at 1.0 on 2025-08-24 12:00 ET. Total 24-hour volume reached 1.47 million, while notional turnover was ~$1.0003 million, indicating moderate liquidity.

Structure & Formations

The price formed a bearish breakdown pattern after consolidating near 1.0002 for much of the day. A key support level appears at 1.0001, where price found initial support and bounced slightly but failed to reclaim the 1.0002 level. A doji appeared around 2:30 AM ET, signaling indecision. The breakdown below 1.0001 was confirmed with a small bearish engulfing pattern around 3:00 AM ET.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages remained closely aligned, hovering near 1.0001–1.0002, reinforcing the tight consolidation range. The daily chart (24-hour close) showed the 50-period and 200-period moving averages aligned near 1.0002, but the price closed slightly below both, indicating bearish bias over the next cycle.

MACD & RSI

The MACD histogram turned negative after 2:30 AM ET, confirming bearish momentum as the price broke the 1.0001 level. RSI dropped from 55 to ~40 during this period, indicating moderate bearish pressure. While not yet in overbought or oversold territory, the trend suggests further downward movement may be supported if volume continues to confirm the move.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands contracted from 12:00 AM to 4:00 AM ET, signaling a period of consolidation with minimal price movement. After 4:30 AM ET, the bands expanded as volume increased, with price breaking below the lower band. This suggests a possible continuation of the downward trend, particularly if the price remains below the 1.0001 level.

Volume & Turnover

Trading volume spiked between 4:30 AM and 8:00 AM ET, particularly as the price broke below the 1.0001 level. This increase in volume supports the validity of the bearish move. However, the increase in turnover did not follow the same pattern, indicating that while volume confirmed the move, notional value traded off at a slower pace. A divergence between volume and turnover could suggest reduced conviction among larger traders.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracements to the morning consolidation swing (1.0–1.0004), the 38.2% and 61.8% levels align at 1.0001 and 1.00006, respectively. The price briefly tested the 38.2% level before falling through to the 61.8% level, which may now act as a key support zone. A bounce from this level could signal a retest of 1.0001, but further weakness could push the price lower.

The market appears to have entered a bearish phase following a breakdown from consolidation. Traders may watch for a retest of the 1.0001 level, with a potential break below 1.00006 signaling deeper bearish momentum. However, traders should remain cautious, as divergence between volume and turnover suggests that further movement may be limited unless more conviction is shown in the next 24 hours.