Market Overview for World Liberty Financial USD/Tether (USD1USDT)

• Price surged to 1.0012 before consolidating near 1.0008.
• Strong bullish momentum seen in late ET hours.
• Volume spiked to over 3.2M on 14:15 ET candle.
• RSI and MACD suggest potential exhaustion near overbought zone.
• Bollinger Bands show tightening in early AM, then expansion.

World Liberty Financial USD/Tether (USD1USDT) opened at 1.0001 on 2025-09-21 at 12:00 ET and closed at 1.0008 by 2025-09-22 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 1.0012 and a low of 0.9999. The total 24-hour volume amounted to 42.2 million, with a notional turnover of approximately 42.4 million (assuming 1 USD = 1 USDT). Price action suggests a sharp reversal from the early morning low as buying pressure accelerated through the midday and afternoon.

Structure & Formations

Price developed a clear bullish trend from 05:30 ET onward, marked by a strong reversal from a 0.9999 low. A key 1.0008–1.0012 resistance cluster formed, with price finding support at 1.0007–1.0008 multiple times. Notable patterns include a bullish engulfing candle at 10:30 ET and a series of higher highs from 14:30 to 15:15 ET. The price may test this key cluster again in the next 24 hours.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are aligned beneath current price action, indicating a bullish bias. On the daily chart, the 50/100/200-period SMAs are closely grouped, suggesting price is consolidating within a tight trend channel. Price may continue to trend upward if momentum remains intact.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line crossed above the signal line in the morning, confirming bullish momentum. RSI reached 70–75 levels in the afternoon, indicating potential overbought conditions. While this may not be a sell signal yet, a pullback could be imminent. Divergence between price and RSI appears to be narrowing, suggesting buyers remain in control for now.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded significantly after 10:00 ET, with price reaching the upper band on the 15-minute chart. A contraction in the early AM preceded the breakout, suggesting a consolidation period ended. Price remains within the upper half of the bands, and a retest of the lower band (1.0007–1.0008) may be needed for further validation of the trend.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked dramatically on the 14:15 ET candle, with over 3.2M traded. Notional turnover aligned with this spike, confirming the strength of the upward move. Earlier in the morning, volume was lower despite a price drop, indicating weak bearish conviction. Divergence between early AM price and volume suggests a possible false breakdown failed to hold.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci levels to the 09:15–15:15 ET swing, 1.0008 represents the 61.8% retracement level, and 1.0012 is the 76.4% level. Price may face resistance at these levels before attempting a pullback. Daily swings also align with 0.9999–1.0008 as a key support zone.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtesting strategy could focus on entries at the 1.0007–1.0008 support cluster with a stop below 0.9999 and a target at 1.0012–1.0015. This setup would benefit from confirmed bullish momentum and volume confirmation on breakouts. A trailing stop could be implemented once price passes 1.0012 to capture continued bullish bias. Historical data suggests that this zone has shown strong support and may serve as a high-probability entry point for continuation.