Market Overview: World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) – September 15, 2025

• Price surged from $0.209 to $0.222 after a sharp drop early in the 24-hour window.
• Momentum accelerated in the final 6 hours, breaking above 0.221 on strong volume.
• Bollinger Bands expanded sharply, indicating increased volatility in the afternoon.
• RSI signaled overbought conditions at the 24-hour high of 0.223, hinting at possible exhaustion.
• Volume remained relatively moderate, raising questions about sustainability of the breakout.

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at $0.2121 on September 14 at 12:00 ET and closed at $0.2186 on September 15 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of $0.223 and a low of $0.2052 during the 24-hour period. Total trading volume was approximately 474,081,000. Total turnover reached $100,760,420. The pair showed strong late-day momentum driven by a breakout above key resistance levels.

Structure & Formations

WLFIUSDT formed a strong bullish reversal pattern in the late afternoon, following a sharp pullback to $0.2092. A long-legged white candle on 15-minute charts confirmed the shift in sentiment. Key support levels appear at $0.2121 (initial 15:00 ET open) and $0.2186 (24-hour close). Resistance has now shifted to $0.2221 and $0.223, where the high was capped during the rally. A potential bearish engulfing pattern emerged briefly near $0.2143, but was negated by a late surge.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages show a bullish crossover late in the session, aligning with the breakout. The 50-period MA on the daily chart is at $0.2148 and the 100-period MA at $0.2137, suggesting the rally is gaining technical confirmation. The 200-period MA, at $0.2114, remains below current price, reinforcing the bullish bias.

MACD & RSI

MACD showed a strong bullish crossover in the final hours of the 24-hour window, with a positive histogram confirming momentum. RSI reached an overbought reading of 76 at the 24-hour high of $0.223, suggesting potential for a consolidation phase or minor pullback. However, the delayed overbought signal implies strong conviction from buyers.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the afternoon and early evening, indicating heightened volatility. Price traded near the upper band during the breakout, confirming the strength of the move. A contraction in the band width occurred during the morning dip, hinting at a potential reversal setup before the sharp move higher.

Volume & Turnover

Volume increased moderately throughout the day, with the most significant spikes occurring during the late afternoon rally. Notional turnover aligned with price action, showing no divergence. The lack of explosive volume during the breakout could suggest that the move was driven by a concentrated group of buyers rather than broad market participation.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracements to the morning low at $0.2052 and the 24-hour high of $0.223, key levels include $0.2145 (38.2%), $0.2166 (50%), and $0.2193 (61.8%). The 61.8% level was tested and held, with price pushing through on the close, indicating strength. The next target is the $0.223 high, followed by the $0.2265 extension level.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential strategy for WLFIUSDT involves entering long positions when price breaks above the 50-period moving average on the 15-minute chart and remains above it for at least two consecutive candles, with a stop-loss placed just below the 20-period MA. This setup aligns with the recent bullish divergence in the MACD and RSI. The entry would target a 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci extension of the morning dip to $0.2052, with a target near $0.223.