Market Overview for World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) – October 12, 2025

• Price declined from 0.1316 to 0.1201 over 24 hours, with a sharp drop around 19:15 ET.
• High volume spikes occurred during the sell-off, indicating strong bearish participation.
• Price appears to test a key support level near 0.12, with mixed RSI and MACD signals.
• Volatility remained elevated, with wide Bollinger Bands and a 6.5% range.
• Turnover increased significantly post 19:00 ET, suggesting growing market attention.

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at 0.1312 on October 11, 12:00 ET, and closed at 0.1201 by 12:00 ET the next day, with a high of 0.1316 and a low of 0.117. Total volume reached 404,407,079.9999999 units, while total turnover amounted to 40,440,707.9999999 (based on traded volume and price average).

Over the 24-hour window, price formation showed a clear bearish trend, particularly between 19:15 and 21:15 ET, where volume surged and price dropped by nearly 4%. A key support level appears to be forming around 0.12, where the asset has paused and reversed slightly in the final hours. A bearish engulfing pattern was observed during the sharp drop, while a doji emerged near the 0.121–0.122 range, suggesting indecision.

Price appears to be consolidating within a descending channel, with the 20-period and 50-period moving averages (15-minute chart) both trending lower. The 50-period MA crossed below the 20-period MA, confirming a bearish bias. On the daily chart, the 50-period, 100-period, and 200-period MAs are aligned in a downward slope, suggesting a continuation of the bear trend could persist. The RSI (14) dipped into oversold territory during the 19:15–20:15 ET window, but failed to produce a strong bounce. The MACD line crossed below the signal line, confirming a bearish momentum phase.

Volatility spiked during the 19:15–21:00 ET window, with Bollinger Bands widening to reflect increased market pressure. Price traded near the lower band during the most intense phase of the sell-off. As of the 12:00 ET close, price was hovering slightly above the middle band, suggesting a potential short-term rebound could be attempted.

Notable volume and turnover surges occurred during the 19:15–21:00 ET window, with volume exceeding 18 million units and turnover rising sharply. However, this did not produce a strong rebound, suggesting that sellers remain in control. A divergence between volume and price action may indicate that the current support level is fragile and could be broken if bears apply additional pressure.

Fibonacci retracements applied to the recent 15-minute swing (0.1316 to 0.117) indicate key levels at 0.1237 (38.2%) and 0.1203 (61.8%). Price has tested the 61.8% level multiple times, suggesting it is a key psychological barrier.

Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtest strategy could involve entering a short position when price breaks below the 61.8% Fibonacci level, with a stop-loss above the 38.2% level. A trailing stop could be initiated once the asset rebounds to the 20-period MA and fails to break above it. Given the bearish momentum observed in the MACD and RSI, this setup would likely align with the current market environment. Testing this approach over similar volatility windows could provide insight into its robustness under pressure.

Price may attempt a short-term bounce around the 0.12–0.121 range in the next 24 hours, but sustained selling pressure could force it below the key 0.12 support. Investors should watch for a break below 0.119 to confirm a deeper bearish phase.