Market Overview for World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) on 2025-10-25

• Price closed near 0.134 after a volatile 24-hour range between 0.1334 and 0.1371.
• Momentum shifted lower mid-day with RSI entering oversold territory by 04:30 ET.
• Volume surged after 00:00 ET but failed to confirm bullish follow-through above 0.136.
• Price retested key Fibonacci levels at 0.1341 and 0.1355 during the session.
• Bollinger Bands expanded in the early morning before tightening toward session end, signaling potential consolidation.

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at 0.136 at 12:00 ET−1 on 2025-10-25 and reached a high of 0.1371 before closing at 0.134 at 12:00 ET the same day. The 24-hour trading range was defined by a low of 0.1334 and a high of 0.1371. Total volume amounted to approximately 69,466,793.4 units, with a turnover of $9,324,942.31. These metrics suggest a mix of strong participation and a bearish tilt in the final hours.

Structure & Formations

Price action revealed a bearish shift in late trading hours, with a strong rejection at 0.1361–0.1368 during the early morning and a decisive breakdown below 0.136 after 00:00 ET. A potential bearish engulfing pattern emerged between 00:00 and 00:15 ET, followed by a series of lower closes that failed to regain the 0.136–0.1362 range. This pattern is reinforced by a descending triangle forming on the 15-minute chart, with key support at 0.134 and 0.1334.

Moving Averages and Momentum

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages both crossed below price during the morning hours, signaling bearish momentum. The 50-period MA was at 0.1358 and the 20-period MA at 0.1363 by the end of the session. RSI dropped from 62 to 31 over the latter half of the day, indicating oversold conditions, while MACD showed a bearish crossover in early morning trading.

Bollinger Bands and Volatility

Bollinger Bands expanded in the early morning hours as volatility spiked, particularly between 00:00 and 02:00 ET, before narrowing again in the final hours of the session. Price remained within the upper and lower bands but spent much of the session near the lower band, indicating a contraction in volatility and potential consolidation.

Volume and Turnover

Volume spiked sharply at the session open (00:00 ET), peaking at 9,818,710 units, but failed to confirm a bullish breakout above 0.1368. Turnover also surged at that point, indicating high participation in the initial bearish leg. However, the lack of follow-through volume above 0.136 suggests a lack of conviction from buyers. Price and volume appear to be diverging at the top of the current range, raising the risk of a further pullback.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the 24-hour swing from 0.1334 to 0.1371, key levels of interest include 0.1341 (23.6%), 0.1355 (38.2%), and 0.1364 (61.8%). Price tested the 23.6% and 38.2% levels during the session and showed rejection at 0.1364 in late morning trading. This suggests the 0.1355–0.1364 range is a critical area to watch for potential near-term direction.

Backtest Hypothesis

The backtest strategy outlined earlier could be applied to this specific ticker (WLFIUSDT) using a 15-minute timeframe and a 3-day holding period (T+3). The Bullish Engulfing pattern formed around 00:15 ET could be the entry signal, with a close on T+3 as the exit. A benchmark of “HOLD.P – Harbor Alpha Layering ETF” could provide a comparative performance baseline. This approach aligns with the observed technical structure, including the key Fibonacci levels and the bearish divergence in volume and price. The 50/20 EMA crossover and RSI readings can act as confirmation filters for entries. The next steps would involve defining the exact entry and exit rules and running the backtest on historical data for accuracy.