Market Overview for World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) as of 2025-10-03

• WLFIUSDT traded in a 0.2045–0.2106 range, showing a bullish bias after a 0.2103 intraday high
• Strong volume-driven rally from 0.2064 to 0.2109 followed by consolidation around 0.2092–0.2105
• RSI reached overbought territory and diverged with price near 0.2103, suggesting possible short-term pullback
• Bollinger Bands expanded with price near the upper band at key resistance levels
• Total volume surged to ~54M, confirming strength in key price moves

World Liberty Financial/Tether (WLFIUSDT) opened at 0.2054 on 2025-10-02 12:00 ET and reached a high of 0.2106 on 2025-10-03 before closing at 0.2069 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour session recorded a total trading volume of ~54.1 million and a notional turnover of ~11.25 million USD. Price action showed a strong rally followed by a corrective consolidation.

Structure & Formations

Price advanced from a base of 0.2050–0.2070 before breaking out to a high of 0.2106 on strong volume. A key resistance at 0.2103 was tested and briefly broken, followed by a pullback that formed a potential bearish divergence. A bullish engulfing pattern occurred during the 05:30–05:45 ET candle as the asset moved from 0.2106 to 0.2109. Later, a doji formed near 0.2098, signaling indecision after the rally. Support appears to be strengthening at 0.2080–0.2092, with a potential test of the 0.2060–0.2066 base if the correction continues.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are bullish, with price above both. The 50-period MA is currently at ~0.2075 and has acted as a dynamic support level. On the daily chart, the 50-period and 200-period MAs are converging, with the 200-period at ~0.2060 offering critical support. Price is currently above the 50-period MA (~0.2075), but the 100-period MA is approaching as a potential pivot zone.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line turned negative during the afternoon ET, suggesting waning momentum after the 0.2106 high. However, the histogram remained above zero into the early hours of 2025-10-03. The RSI reached overbought territory near 70 during the 05:30–06:00 ET session, then corrected into the 55–60 range. A bearish divergence appears as price peaked at 0.2106 while RSI failed to make a new high, indicating potential exhaustion in the rally.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the early morning hours of 2025-10-03, with price testing the upper band at 0.2106. This breakout was followed by a consolidation phase within a narrowing range of 0.2092–0.2105, indicating a potential pause in volatility. Price remains near the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting continuation could follow if the breakout holds. A break below the middle band (~0.2082) may signal renewed bearish momentum.

Volume & Turnover

Volume surged during the 05:30–06:00 ET session, with ~5.1 million traded and turnover reaching ~1.07 million USD. This volume confirmed the 0.2106 high as a valid breakout. However, volume dropped off during the 07:30–08:00 ET session as price corrected, suggesting a possible short-term topping pattern. Notional turnover aligned with price spikes, with the largest notional turnover occurring at 0.2106 and 0.2066, indicating key levels of accumulation and distribution.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci levels are significant in both short and long timeframes. On the 15-minute chart, the 0.2106 high marks a 100% retracement of the 0.2064–0.2106 move. Key retracement levels within this move include 0.2092 (61.8%) and 0.2086 (50%), both of which were tested and held. On the daily chart, the 61.8% level aligns with 0.2084 and the 38.2% level with 0.2098. These levels are likely to be contested in the next 24 hours, especially if volatility picks up again.

Backtest Hypothesis

The backtesting strategy described relies on identifying overbought RSI divergences and volume exhaustion to predict short-term reversals. Given the RSI divergence at 0.2106 and the declining volume after the peak, a sell signal may have been generated at that time. If applied retroactively, this strategy would have suggested a short position at 0.2106 with a target at 0.2080–0.2092 and a stop-loss above 0.2106. The consolidation phase aligns with this hypothesis, and if the current support at 0.2086 holds, the strategy appears to be validated.