Market Overview for USDC/Czech Koruna (USDCCZK): Consolidation Amid Stable Volatility

• Price action for USDCCZK shows consolidation around 21.0 after a late-night rebound from 20.96.
• RSI near 55 indicates moderate momentum, with no overbought or oversold signals in recent 15-min data.
• Volatility remains tight within Bollinger Bands, with price fluctuating within a narrow range.
• Volume spikes observed in early morning, but failed to push price decisively higher or lower.
• Fibonacci retracement levels at 21.02 and 20.97 suggest key psychological resistance and support.

The USDC/Czech Koruna (USDCCZK) pair opened at 20.97 (12:00 ET − 1) and traded between 20.96 and 21.03 over the past 24 hours, closing at 21.00 at 12:00 ET today. Total volume across the 15-minute intervals summed to 132,685.0, with a notional turnover of approximately 2,786,367 CZK based on volume-weighted average pricing. The pair appears to be consolidating within a defined range, with little directional bias.

Structure and formations suggest a key support at 20.97 and resistance at 21.01, both areas showing repeated price consolidation without decisive breakouts. A doji-like pattern formed around 04:45–05:00 ET, suggesting indecision among market participants. The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart are in close proximity, indicating a neutral to sideways trend. No strong bullish or bearish candlestick patterns emerged, but the price action around 21.02 in the early morning suggested a minor attempt at a reversal.

Bollinger Bands showed a slight contraction in the mid-morning hours, indicating a potential setup for a breakout or continuation within the range. RSI hovered near the neutral zone, with no clear divergence between price and momentum. MACD showed a low positive reading, suggesting weak bullish momentum. Volume was highest between 05:00–07:00 ET, with a sharp drop-off after 08:00 ET, indicating waning interest in the pair as the day progressed.

Fibonacci retracements drawn from the recent swing high (21.03) and swing low (20.96) show 21.01 and 21.02 as key levels for resistance, with 20.97 and 20.96 marking support. No clear overextended levels emerged that could signal exhaustion or reversal. The 61.8% level at 21.02 was briefly tested but failed to hold, reinforcing the idea of a rangebound market.

Backtest Hypothesis

I have completed the back-test you requested and packaged the visual result into an interactive module. Please open the module below to review the key statistics, equity curve, and trade-by-trade details. Notes on automatically-filled items:

1. Start / end dates were set to 2022-01-01 and 2025-10-22 according to your instruction “from 2022 to now.”
2. Price type: “close” is chosen (standard for candlestick pattern tests).
3. The module shows the full statistical output returned by the back-test engine. Feel free to open the module and let me know if you’d like any further tweaks or deeper analysis.