Market Overview for Toncoin/Tether (TONUSDT)

Summary
• Price action shows a bullish rebound from 1.581 with a 1.626 high.
• Volume spiked at key resistance levels, confirming buying interest.
• RSI and MACD indicate moderate momentum but not overbought conditions.
• Volatility expanded in the early session, then stabilized.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed after 04:30 ET, suggesting potential for higher prices.

Toncoin/Tether (TONUSDT) opened at 1.584 on 12 December 2025 at 12:00 ET and closed at 1.625 by the same time on 13 December. The pair reached a high of 1.626 and a low of 1.581 during the 24-hour period. Total volume was 1,547,269.73, with a notional turnover of $246,494.52.

Structure and Key Levels

The 24-hour chart shows a bullish rebound from the 1.581 support level, with the price forming a series of higher highs and higher lows. A significant bullish engulfing pattern emerged around 04:30 ET, as the pair moved from 1.615 to 1.629 in a 5-minute candle, indicating strong upward intent. The 1.600 level acted as a key psychological and technical pivot, with buying interest intensifying above that mark. Resistance appears to be forming around 1.626–1.629, with potential for further upside if this zone is decisively broken.

Volume and Momentum

Volume increased sharply at key resistance levels, notably between 04:00 and 06:00 ET, when the price approached and tested 1.626. This suggests that accumulation or strong short-covering may be at play. The RSI rose into the 55–60 range, indicating moderate positive momentum without reaching overbought territory. The MACD turned positive after 04:30 ET, confirming the strength of the rally. However, the divergence between price and RSI suggests caution — momentum may not be fully aligned with the upward move.

Volatility and Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded in the early hours of the session, with a high-low range widening from 1.600–1.629. The price spent much of the latter half of the 24-hour period within the upper Bollinger Band, indicating a continuation of the bullish phase. The bands themselves expanded in the 05:00–07:00 ET range, reflecting increased market participation and positioning.

Looking ahead, TONUSDT appears poised to test the 1.630–1.635 level if institutional or algorithmic buyers remain active. A failure to hold above 1.615 may invite a retracement into the 1.595–1.600 range. Investors should watch for a potential bearish divergence in RSI or a breakdown in volume to assess the sustainability of the current rally.