Market Overview for Tether/Hryvnia (USDTUAH): 24-Hour Analysis for 2025-10-13

• Price closed near the low, with a 24-hour range of 43.22 to 42.87.
• Volatility expanded late ET, with volume spiking near the 43.20–43.06 range.
• A bullish reversal pattern formed overnight after a 4.5% intraday drop.
• RSI approached oversold levels, suggesting potential for near-term bounce.
• Bollinger Bands tightened midday, preceding a sharp price rebound into the evening.

The Tether/Hryvnia (USDTUAH) pair opened at 43.03 on 2025-10-12 at 12:00 ET and closed at 43.02 the following day. The 24-hour range spanned from a high of 43.22 to a low of 42.87. Total volume traded over the period was 96,093.0 units, while notional turnover reached a high of 4,123,377.24 UAH. Price action exhibited a sharp drop in the early hours, followed by a late ET rebound, forming a bullish reversal pattern near the 43.10–43.20 area.

Key support levels emerged at 42.95 and 42.89, where price found buying interest after a 4.5% drop overnight. Resistance appears to have strengthened at 43.20 and 43.25, with a 20-period EMA sitting at 43.06 and a 50-period EMA at 43.09 as dynamic references. The 15-minute chart suggests price has begun to test the 20/50 EMA convergence as a potential base for a short-term recovery.

Momentum indicators showed mixed signals: the MACD histogram turned positive in the early morning hours, suggesting a shift in momentum. RSI dipped into oversold territory near 30, indicating a possible bounce. Bollinger Bands contracted midday and expanded sharply in the late ET session, suggesting a period of consolidation followed by increased volatility. A 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 43.10 aligns with the 50-period EMA, forming a key potential pivot for the next 24 hours.

Volume surged in the 43.10–43.20 range, coinciding with a sharp price rebound and a bullish candlestick formation. Notional turnover was significantly higher during the late ET rally than the early morning sell-off, confirming strength in the reversal. Divergences were observed between price and volume during the overnight decline, with low volume on a bearish gap downward. This suggests a lack of conviction in the sell-off and hints at potential exhaustion of downward pressure.

Backtest Hypothesis
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Price appears to have found a short-term floor near 42.95–42.89 and is testing the 43.10–43.20 area as potential near-term resistance. A breakout above 43.15 with rising volume could confirm a reversal, while a retest of 42.90–42.89 may trigger further consolidation. Traders should watch for divergence between volume and price during these swings, as well as for a potential MACD crossover above the signal line. As always, be prepared for volatility in a market with limited liquidity and rapid sentiment shifts.