Market Overview for Terra/Tether (LUNAUSDT)

Summary
• Price tested key resistance at 0.1055 but failed to sustain above, closing near 0.104.
• Volume surged at 21:45 ET with a sharp rally to 0.1070, suggesting short-term buying pressure.
• RSI remained below overbought/oversold levels, indicating balanced momentum despite intraday swings.
• Volatility expanded through Bollinger Bands as the 0.104–0.105 range saw heavy consolidation.
• A potential bearish engulfing pattern emerged near 0.1050, signaling caution for longs.

Market Overview

Terra/Tether (LUNAUSDT) opened at 0.1053 on 2025-12-25 12:00 ET, touched a high of 0.1076, a low of 0.1023, and closed at 0.104 at 12:00 ET on 2025-12-26. The pair traded with a total volume of 9,883,117.6 and a turnover of 1,030,026.95 during the 24-hour period.

Structure & Moving Averages

The 5-minute chart shows price consolidating within a 0.104–0.105 range after a sharp 21:45 ET rally to 0.1070. The 20-period moving average currently sits just above 0.1045, suggesting short-term bearish bias. On the daily chart, the 50- and 200-period moving averages remain crossed in a bearish death cross pattern, hinting at continued downward pressure unless a sustained breakout occurs above 0.1055.

Momentum and Volatility Indicators

The RSI remains within neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum without strong overbought or oversold signals. The MACD histogram has been contracting since 02:00 ET, suggesting waning bullish momentum. Bollinger Bands expanded during the 21:45 ET rally and have since contracted, signaling a potential return to consolidation. Price currently resides near the lower Bollinger Band, hinting at short-term oversold conditions.

Volume and Turnover Analysis

Volume spiked sharply at 21:45 ET, coinciding with the rally to 0.1070, but failed to confirm a breakout above 0.1055. Turnover increased during this period, reinforcing the strength of short-term buying. However, volume declined significantly after 04:00 ET, indicating reduced market participation. A divergence appears between volume and price action, as declining volume has not supported a return to prior highs, suggesting bearish exhaustion may not yet be in play.

Fibonacci Retracement Levels

Applying Fibonacci levels to the recent 5-minute swing from 0.1023 to 0.1076, key retracement levels currently sit at 38.2% (0.1054), 50% (0.10495), and 61.8% (0.1045). Price appears to be consolidating near the 50–61.8% range, suggesting potential support or resistance in the immediate term. On the daily chart, a Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low shows 0.104 as a potential support level for the next 24 hours.

Forward-Looking Outlook

Price appears to be testing the 0.104–0.105 range with a potential bearish bias unless a breakout above 0.1055 materializes. Short-term traders may watch for a retest of 0.1055 and the 50-period MA as key signals. Given the low volatility and divergent volume, a sudden move in either direction remains a risk for near-term position holders.