• Price action shows a choppy range-bound pattern with key levels at 0.2343 (support) and 0.2379 (resistance).
• Momentum waned after midday ET, with RSI dipping below 50 and volume tapering off.
• Volatility contracted mid-day before expanding again in the afternoon as price retested key levels.
• A sharp selloff from 0.238 to 0.2331 occurred in the early hours of 2025-09-24, followed by a recovery.
• Notable patterns include a morning engulfing bearish pattern and a bullish inside bar post-noon.
Storj/Tether (STORJUSDT) opened at 0.236 and closed at 0.2368 within the 24-hour period, hitting a high of 0.238 and a low of 0.231. The total volume reached 983,134.1, while turnover amounted to $226,565. Price activity showed consolidation after a sharp sell-off, followed by a modest recovery into the afternoon.
Structure & Formations
The 24-hour candlestick pattern displayed bearish dominance in the early morning hours, with a strong bearish engulfing pattern forming between 04:15 and 05:00 ET. This was followed by a consolidation phase, where a bullish inside bar formed at 07:30 ET. The price found key support at 0.2335 and resistance at 0.2379, forming a horizontal trading range. A doji appeared at 09:00 ET, signaling potential indecision and possibly the end of a bearish trend.
Moving Averages
The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart showed a convergence around 0.235–0.236, with the 50-period line holding slightly above the 20-period. This suggests short-term equilibrium. On the daily chart, the 50, 100, and 200-period moving averages were closely aligned, indicating a flat or neutral trend. The price remained above the 200-day MA, preserving a long-term bullish bias.
MACD & RSI
MACD showed a bearish crossover in the early hours, confirming the initial sell-off, followed by a flattening trend as price stabilized. RSI dropped below 50 at 07:00 ET, entering neutral territory and later dipping to 45 by midday, suggesting oversold conditions. There were no clear overbought readings above 60, though price action occasionally flirted with the upper 50–60 range as buyers attempted to push price higher.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility contracted significantly during the midday hours, with price hovering near the lower Bollinger Band at 0.2335, before expanding again in the afternoon. The bands widened as the price moved closer to the 0.2379 resistance. The narrowing midday range may have signaled a consolidation phase, followed by a breakout attempt in the afternoon. Price remained within the bands for most of the session, though it touched the upper band during a late-day rally.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged during the early morning sell-off, particularly in the candle ending at 04:15 ET with 91,157 units, and again in the mid-afternoon as price attempted a breakout. Turnover was highest during the same timeframes, aligning with price moves. However, volume decreased after 07:00 ET despite a modest price recovery, indicating weak follow-through. A divergence between price and volume was noted in the late afternoon, where price rose but volume declined, suggesting potential exhaustion.
Fibonacci Retracements
Fibonacci levels drawn from the key swing high at 0.238 and swing low at 0.2331 provided critical reference points. The 0.2354 level (38.2%) acted as a strong support area, while 0.2379 (61.8%) held as a key resistance level. Price bounced off the 0.2354 Fibonacci retracement twice and approached the 61.8% level twice, failing to break through both. These levels continue to be key watchpoints for potential trend continuation or reversal.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtesting strategy for this market could involve entering a long position when price breaks above the 61.8% Fibonacci level (0.2379) with confirmation from the 50-period moving average crossing above the 20-period. A stop-loss could be placed just below the 38.2% level (0.2354), while a take-profit target might be set at the next Fibonacci extension level. This strategy would aim to capitalize on a breakout attempt while managing risk through defined support and resistance levels. Integrating MACD and RSI readings can help confirm the strength of the move, offering an extra layer of technical validation.
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