• Price action showed a bearish reversal pattern from a key high, with a 4.3% drop from $0.2561 to $0.2510.
• RSI and MACD confirmed weakening momentum, with RSI dipping below 50 and MACD lines diverging.
• Volatility expanded in the final 6 hours, with BollingerBINI-- Bands widening, suggesting potential range retesting.
• Volume increased by 170% in the last 24 hours, yet price drifted lower—potential divergence between volume and trend.
Storj/Tether (STORJUSDT) opened at $0.2542 on 2025-09-20 12:00 ET, reached a high of $0.2572, touched a low of $0.2498, and closed at $0.2510 on 2025-09-21 12:00 ET. Total volume over the 24-hour window was 813,695 contracts, while notional turnover amounted to ~$204,649, representing a 170% increase from the prior 24 hours.
Structure & Formations
Price formed a bearish engulfing pattern near $0.2562–0.2558 during the early hours of the session, signaling a potential top. A strong support level emerged at $0.2510–0.2508 following a consolidation phase in the last 5 hours. A key resistance at $0.2560 appears to have failed, while a short-term support at $0.2530–0.2526 is now in focus for possible bounce testing. A deep doji at $0.2510 on the final 15-minute candle suggests indecision and may indicate a temporary bottoming process.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-EMA crossed below the 50-EMA, forming a bearish "death cross" in the morning, which aligned with the price decline. The 50-EMA is currently at ~$0.2537, acting as dynamic resistance. On a larger time frame, the 200-day MA sits at ~$0.2562, indicating that the pair is now trading below its long-term average and may remain in a bearish phase unless buyers decisively retest and close above the 50-day MA at ~$0.2548.
MACD & RSI
MACD showed a bearish divergence with price from $0.2560, confirming weakening bullish momentum. RSI dipped into oversold territory below 30 during the last 3 hours of the session, suggesting a potential bounce from the $0.2508–0.2510 zone. However, a close below 30 without a strong reversal may signal deeper support testing at $0.2498–0.2502.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded during the last 6 hours, reflecting heightened volatility. Price closed near the lower band at $0.2510, indicating potential oversold conditions. A retest of the mid-band (~$0.2534) could be expected if buying interest returns.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged by 170% compared to the previous 24 hours, yet price fell, indicating divergence. The largest volume spike occurred at $0.2510–0.2515, where price consolidated before closing. This suggests profit-taking or bearish exhaustion at current levels. A higher volume on a potential rebound may confirm a short-term reversal.
Fibonacci Retracements
On the 15-minute swing from $0.2562 to $0.2498, price is currently at ~61.8% of the retracement level (~$0.2530). This level could be a critical inflection point for near-term buyers. On a daily chart, the 38.2% and 61.8% levels sit at $0.2536 and $0.2522, respectively, offering possible support if the current bearish trend continues.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtest strategy would be to go long on a bullish reversal candlestick pattern forming at a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (~$0.2530) with a stop loss below the previous low and a target at the mid-Bollinger band (~$0.2534). A short entry could be triggered on a break below $0.2508 with a stop above the 38.2% retracement level. The MACD and RSI would act as filters—only entries with MACD crossing above zero and RSI above 50 would be considered valid. This approach could capitalize on volatility-driven mean reversion in a range-bound environment.
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