Summary• Price action shows a bearish consolidation with key support at 0.0451 and resistance at 0.0464.• RSI indicates moderate momentumMMT--, without clear overbought or oversold signals.• High volume spikes coincide with price declines, suggesting bearish pressure.• Volatility expanded during the early ET hours before narrowing again.• No strong candlestick patterns confirmed a directional breakout.
The Space and Time/Tether (SXTUSDT) pair opened at 0.0459 on 2025-11-05 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 0.0467, touched a low of 0.0444, and closed at 0.0451 on 2025-11-06 at 12:00 ET. Total volume over the 24-hour period was 100,336,229.4, with a notional turnover of approximately $4,592,312 (assuming $1 = 1 USDT).
The 20- and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart have been converging as price drifted lower, with the 50-period line slightly above the 20-period line. This suggests a weakening bullish bias in the short term. On the daily chart, the 50/100/200 EMA alignment has flattened, indicating a potential trading range ahead. The pair appears to be forming a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute chart, with resistance at 0.0464 and support at 0.0451.
Structure & Formations
Price action over the 24-hour period has formed a series of bearish setups. Key support levels are seen at 0.0451, 0.0447, and 0.0444, while resistance levels are at 0.0457, 0.0461, and 0.0464. A notable bearish engulfing pattern formed around 0.0464 on 2025-11-05, signaling potential short-term weakness. A doji candle appeared near 0.0457 late on 2025-11-06, suggesting indecision.
Moving Averages
The 15-minute chart shows the 20-period moving average crossing below the 50-period line in a bearish crossover, reinforcing the downward drift. On the daily chart, the 50 EMA has flattened near the 100-period line, with the 200-period EMA also showing a bearish bias. These suggest a potential for continued consolidation within the 0.0444–0.0464 range.
MACD & RSI
MACD has remained below the signal line for most of the 24-hour period, with bearish divergence noted after the price high of 0.0467. RSI has moved into neutral territory, hovering between 50 and 60, indicating no strong overbought or oversold conditions. The RSI divergence from the price high suggests possible near-term correction.
Bollinger Bands
Price has remained within the Bollinger Bands for the majority of the period, showing moderate volatility. A recent contraction near 0.0457 suggests a potential expansion in volatility, which could lead to a breakout or breakdown. Price has spent time at the upper band after the 0.0467 high, but has since moved toward the lower band, indicating bearish pressure.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the bearish move from 0.0467 to 0.0444, with the largest turnover occurring during the 03:15–03:30 ET hours (around 2025-11-06) when over 700,000 units were traded. This volume confirmed the bearish move. A divergence appeared as price hit 0.0447, where volume dropped despite the price low, suggesting a potential bottoming process.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci retracements to the recent 0.0467–0.0444 move, key levels at 0.0455 (38.2%), 0.0451 (61.8%), and 0.0448 (78.6%) have shown strong resistance or support. Price found support at 0.0451 before rebounding, aligning with the 61.8% level. The 38.2% level at 0.0455 may act as a resistance if buyers re-enter the market.
Backtest Hypothesis
To align with the observed bearish bias and Fibonacci support levels, a backtest could be constructed using the RSI-based entry strategy, where trades are initiated when RSI falls below 30 (oversold condition). Given the recent volume confirmation during bearish moves, this could be a viable oversold-rebound strategy. The hypothesis assumes a 14-period RSI, with trades entered at the close and exited the next day at close. The oversold condition could signal short-term buying opportunities, particularly near the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 0.0451. This would allow investors to capitalize on potential rebounds from key support levels.
Comentarios
Aún no hay comentarios