Market Overview for Sleepless AI/Bitcoin (AIBTC) on 2025-09-18

• Price rose from 1.18e-06 to 1.27e-06, forming bullish momentum and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement on 15-min chart
• RSI reached overbought territory, hinting at possible pullback, while MACD remained positive and expanding
• Volume surged during late-night to early morning ET with no major divergence in price vs turnover
• Bollinger Bands showed a late volatility expansion, with price near the upper band at close
• No clear bearish reversal patterns emerged, but indecision candles appeared near 1.26e-06 and 1.27e-06

Sleepless AI/Bitcoin (AIBTC) opened at 1.18e-06 on 2025-09-17 at 12:00 ET and reached a high of 1.29e-06 before closing at 1.27e-06 on 2025-09-18 at 12:00 ET. The pair traded within a 24-hour range of 1.16e-06 to 1.29e-06. Total 15-minute volume amounted to 464,799.8, while notional turnover reached 585.08e-06 BTC.

Over the 24-hour period, AIBTC showed a steady rise in price supported by a surge in volume during the early hours of the morning, particularly between 03:45 ET and 08:30 ET, where the volume exceeded 39,000 and turnover peaked above 0.05 BTC. The price found temporary resistance near 1.26e-06 and 1.27e-06, where indecision and reversal patterns such as doji and hammers appeared. These formations suggest potential exhaustion in the upward trend, especially with RSI nearing overbought levels and MACD still in positive territory but showing signs of flattening.

Structure and candlestick patterns revealed a bullish bias with a strong push above prior resistance levels. The 15-minute chart displayed a bullish engulfing pattern at 1.22e-06 and a strong rally afterward, which was confirmed by volume spikes. The price also showed a potential 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near 1.27e-06, suggesting a key level to watch for potential consolidation or a continuation. Bollinger Bands expanded in the final hours, indicating rising volatility and a price position near the upper band at close.

MACD remained in positive territory throughout the session with a narrowing histogram, which could indicate weakening bullish momentum. RSI crossed into overbought territory (above 70) in the final hours, signaling possible short-term exhaustion. The 20-period moving average on the 15-minute chart remained above price, supporting a bullish bias, while the 50-period line provided a dynamic support during the rally.

In the coming 24 hours, AIBTC may test the 1.27e-06 to 1.28e-06 range for consolidation or a breakout. Traders should remain cautious of potential pullbacks if RSI fails to retreat below 70 or if volume wanes at key levels.

Backtest Hypothesis
A potential strategy could involve entering long positions when the 15-minute RSI drops below 30 and the price closes above the 20-period moving average. The target is a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, with a stop-loss placed below the most recent 15-minute low. Given today’s data, such a setup would have triggered entries near 1.18e-06 to 1.19e-06, with exits near 1.27e-06, yielding a profit of approximately 7.7% in the short term. Further testing is warranted to refine risk management rules and filter false signals.