Summary
• Price broke out of a 24-hour consolidation with a bullish 5-minute hammer at close.
• Momentum accelerated in the final 3 hours, closing at a 24-hour high of 17.87.
• Volume spiked sharply during the breakout phase, confirming strength.
• RSI climbed from 50 to 68, suggesting overbought conditions.
• Bollinger Bands showed tightening volatility ahead of the breakout.
Market Overview
Sei/Yen (SEIJPY) opened at 17.35 on 2025-12-31 12:00 ET, with a 24-hour high of 17.87, low of 17.2, and closed at 17.87 on 2026-01-01 12:00 ET. Total volume reached 244,380.0 units, with notional turnover of ~$4.55 million.
Structure & Trends
The 24-hour chart displayed a strong bullish bias, with a clear breakout from a consolidation phase between 17.35–17.52. A key 5-minute hammer pattern at 17.58 signaled reversal optimism, followed by a continuation rally. The price closed above 17.87, surpassing the prior high of 17.77.
Trend Confirmation and Momentum
MACD turned sharply positive in the last 3 hours, confirming bullish momentum. RSI pushed into overbought territory at 68 by the close, while 50-period and 200-period moving averages acted as dynamic support during the early rally.
Volatility and Divergence
Bollinger Bands narrowed ahead of the breakout, indicating a period of low volatility, followed by a sharp expansion as the price surged. Volume spiked during the breakout from 17.58, with the largest candle contributing $1.11 million in turnover.
Forward Outlook and Risk
The recent 5-minute rally may test the 17.87–17.90 range as new resistance. A retest of 17.60–17.65 is expected for confirmation, with a breakdown below 17.52 likely to reignite bearish bias. Investors should monitor volume and order flow for any signs of divergence.
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