Market Overview for Sahara AI/Tether (SAHARAUSDT) – 2025-09-26

• SAHARAUSDT fell sharply from 0.07746 to 0.07544 before a late recovery.
• A bullish reversal emerged after a key support at 0.07544 was tested and held.
• Volatility surged midday before settling into a consolidation phase by 12:00 ET.
• Volume spiked during the bearish breakdown but confirmed strength during the recovery.
• RSI shows moderate momentum; overbought conditions not observed, but oversold levels were touched.

Sahara AI/Tether (SAHARAUSDT) opened at 0.07719 on 2025-09-25 at 16:00 ET and closed at 0.07626 on 2025-09-26 at 16:00 ET. The 24-hour range was 0.07748 (high) to 0.0742 (low). Total volume reached 36,085,896 and total notional turnover was approximately $2,793,296 (calculated from price × volume). Price action showed a sharp dip followed by a recovery, suggesting a possible short-term bottoming process.

Structure & Formations

The price traced a distinct V-shaped bottom from 0.07544 (17:15 ET) up to 0.07665 (19:45 ET), followed by a consolidation. Key support was identified at 0.07544 and 0.07604, with 0.07709 acting as a strong resistance level. A bullish engulfing pattern emerged after the 0.07544 support test, indicating potential for a near-term rally. A doji at 0.07618 (22:30 ET) signaled indecision but was quickly resolved in favor of the bulls.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages crossed during the morning session, with the 20-period line dipping below the 50-period, indicating a short-term bearish bias. However, by the afternoon, the 20-period line crossed back above the 50-period, confirming a reversal. Daily moving averages (50/100/200) showed a bearish alignment early in the session, but the late recovery may have disrupted the bearish bias.

MACD & RSI

MACD showed a bearish crossover mid-session, confirming the initial sell-off, but a bullish crossover occurred during the afternoon recovery. RSI bottomed near 30, reaching 28.4 at 17:30 ET, indicating oversold conditions. This triggered a bounce. The RSI then rose to 48.6 by close, suggesting a possible continuation of the rally but not overbought levels. Momentum appears to be improving.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded during the early bearish breakdown, with price hitting the lower band at 0.07544 (17:15 ET). The band contraction occurred during the consolidation phase, suggesting a potential breakout. Price re-entered the band during the late recovery and closed near the middle band at 0.07626, suggesting that volatility is stabilizing.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during the breakdown from 0.0771 to 0.07547, with a high of 1,233,507 at 17:30 ET. This confirmed the bearish move. However, during the recovery, volume remained strong but slightly lower, indicating that the rally may be supported by a broader base of buying. No significant price-volume divergence was observed, but the lack of higher volume during the recovery may suggest a measured bullish response.

Fibonacci Retracements

Key Fibonacci levels from the 0.07748 high to 0.07544 low were tested. The 0.07604 level (38.2% retracement) acted as a support during the recovery, and price bounced off it. A close above 0.07709 (61.8% retracement) could signal a reversal of the 24-hour bearish bias and open the door to the 0.07748 high.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the Fibonacci support at 0.07604 and the confirmed bullish engulfing pattern, a potential backtest strategy could involve a long entry at 0.07626 (closing price) with a stop-loss just below 0.07604. A first target could be set at 0.07709 (61.8% retracement), followed by 0.07748. If RSI remains above 40 and MACD remains in bullish territory, the position may be held for up to 48 hours or until a bearish crossover occurs. This strategy would test the strength of the short-term bullish reversal while managing risk through defined stops and targets.