• Price surged 0.2692 to 0.3006 during the 24-hour period, forming a bullish trend.
• Strong volume spikes occurred during the morning Asian session, confirming price action.
• RSI reached overbought territory late morning, suggesting possible short-term correction.
• Bollinger Bands showed a recent expansion, reflecting rising volatility.
• Key resistance levels appear around 0.2935–0.2950 and 0.3000–0.3010.
The Perpetual Protocol/Tether (PERPUSDT) pair opened at 0.2689 (12:00 ET – 1) and closed at 0.2943 (12:00 ET today), with a high of 0.3010 and a low of 0.2684. Total volume traded over the 24-hour period was 30,783,494.10, with a notional turnover of $8,260,207.00. Price action displayed a strong rally from late night through midday, marked by multiple bullish breakout attempts and high-volume confirmation.
Structure & Formations
Price showed several bullish formations during the session, including a morning breakout above the 0.2900 psychological level, confirmed by strong volume. A strong 15-minute bullish engulfing pattern emerged at 07:30 ET, followed by a large white candle closing at 0.2900. Key resistances emerged at 0.2935–0.2950 and 0.3000–0.3010, with a critical support level identified at 0.2914–0.2930. The consolidation around 0.2943 at close suggests traders may test these levels again in the near term.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period moving average crossed above the 50-period line during the morning Asian session, signaling a bullish crossover. The daily timeframe saw the 50-period MA above the 100- and 200-period lines, reinforcing the continuation of a longer-term uptrend. The 20-period line currently sits at 0.2915, acting as a dynamic support zone as of the close.
MACD & RSI
The 12:00 ET close showed a MACD histogram expanding into positive territory, confirming the strength of the recent rally. RSI reached 68–69 in the early morning before peaking at 76 at 10:45 ET, suggesting overbought conditions. A pullback to 61.8% Fibonacci levels (~0.2935–0.2943) may be expected in the short term. MACD remains above signal line, indicating ongoing bullish momentum.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly during the morning session, with the upper band reaching 0.3030 and the lower band hitting 0.2860. The 12:00 ET close of 0.2943 was positioned near the middle band, suggesting traders are consolidating after the recent breakout. A contraction in band width may precede a new directional move.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the Asian and European sessions, particularly between 07:30–11:45 ET, where average 15-minute turnover exceeded $200,000. This volume supported the price rally to 0.3006–0.3010, confirming bullish strength. However, volume during the last 30 minutes has been relatively moderate, suggesting a possible short-term consolidation or profit-taking behavior.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci to the recent 15-minute swing from 0.2684 (low) to 0.3010 (high), the 38.2% and 61.8% levels currently sit at approximately
0.2900 and
0.2850, respectively. The 61.8% level is acting as a strong support area, which has been tested and held multiple times over the last 24 hours. A break below 0.2850 may indicate a deeper correction, while a rebound above 0.3000 could confirm a continuation of the bullish phase.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtesting strategy focuses on a breakout-based approach, entering long positions on the confirmation of a 15-minute bullish engulfing pattern, provided volume exceeds average by at least 1.5x and RSI is below 40. The stop-loss is set at the low of the engulfing pattern, and the target is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from the subsequent swing. This method aligns with the recent price action, particularly the 07:30 ET breakout, and could offer a structured approach for managing risk while capitalizing on continuation patterns.
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