Market Overview: Oasis/Tether (ROSEUSDT) – 24-Hour Analysis as of 2025-10-01

• ROSEUSDT broke above 0.02440 on a bullish engulfing pattern at 19:45 ET.
• Volatility expanded as price traded between 0.02416 and 0.02479.
• 24-hour volume surged to 16.7 million ROSE, with $4.3 million in turnover.
• RSI remains neutral at 53, but MACD shows rising bullish momentum.
• Price may consolidate near 0.0244–0.0246 before testing key 0.02478 resistance.

Oasis/Tether (ROSEUSDT) opened at 0.02432 on 2025-09-30 12:00 ET and traded as high as 0.02479 before closing at 0.02470 at 2025-10-01 12:00 ET. The 24-hour volume reached 16.7 million ROSE, with a total notional turnover of $4.3 million.

Structure & Formations

ROSEUSDT formed a bullish engulfing pattern at 19:45 ET (0.02445–0.02462), signaling a reversal from a downtrend. A small bullish doji emerged at 00:0000 ET, suggesting indecision. Key support levels are observed at 0.02440, 0.02428, and 0.02420, while resistance levels include 0.02479, 0.02468, and 0.02486. The price appears to be forming a shallow base above 0.02440, with consolidation likely ahead.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period MA is at 0.02454, and the 50-period MA is at 0.02461. The 50-period MA is now crossing above the 20-period MA, suggesting potential short-term bullish momentum. Daily 50-period and 200-period MAs are at 0.02436 and 0.02422, respectively, indicating a mixed picture for longer-term positioning.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line is at 0.00001 with a positive signal line, confirming rising bullish momentum. RSI is at 53, indicating neutral to slightly bullish sentiment. While not overbought, the RSI shows no signs of a bearish divergence, suggesting that the uptrend may continue for at least another session.

Bollinger Bands

ROSEUSDT’s 24-hour volatility expanded as it traded within a range of 0.02416–0.02479, placing the closing price at 0.02470 near the upper band. The width of the bands has increased, indicating a potential breakout or consolidation phase. The price currently sits above the 20-period moving average within the upper third of the band, suggesting a bullish setup.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked at 21:0000 ET (19:0000 ET UTC) and 20:0000 ET (18:0000 ET UTC) with turnover reaching $132,000 and $136,000, respectively. Price and turnover correlated positively during these periods, indicating strong conviction behind the upward move. However, the doji at 00:0000 ET occurred on relatively high volume, suggesting a potential pullback ahead.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci levels to the recent 15-minute swing from 0.02420 to 0.02479, key retracement levels are 0.02458 (38.2%) and 0.02442 (61.8%). The price is currently near 0.02470, which is just below the 100% level, indicating a potential pullback to the 0.02440–0.02462 range before a retest of 0.02479.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the bullish engulfing pattern at 19:45 ET, combined with rising MACD and positive volume, a backtesting strategy could look to enter a long position on a breakout above 0.02470. Stop-loss could be placed just below 0.02440, with a take-profit target at 0.02482–0.02486. The 61.8% Fibonacci level (0.02442) may act as a critical pivot in confirming or rejecting the short-term trend. This strategy would benefit from real-time monitoring of RSI and Bollinger Band positioning to refine exit points and risk management.