Market Overview for Newton Protocol/Tether (NEWTUSDT): 2025-09-26

• Price action was bearish for most of the 24 hours before showing modest strength in the last 6 hours.
• Key support tested around 0.204–0.206 with potential for short-term bounce.
• Volume surged during 19:00–20:00 ET as price broke below 0.206.
• RSI and MACD showed oversold conditions during the morning of 2025-09-26.
• Final 15-minute bar ended with a small bullish candle near the upper Bollinger Band.

Newton Protocol/Tether (NEWTUSDT) opened at 0.2127 on 2025-09-25 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.2076 on 2025-09-26 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour range was 0.2137 to 0.2040, with a 24-hour volume of 6,639,138.06 and a total turnover of 1,387.19 USDT. The price action reflected bearish sentiment during the late evening and early morning hours before a modest rally took hold in the early morning of 2025-09-26.

Structure & Formations

The price structure displayed a strong bearish bias in the early hours of the morning, breaking below a key support level near 0.206 and forming a small bear trap as buyers entered. A notable engulfing pattern occurred at 17:45–18:00 ET, where sellers overwhelmed buyers. A doji formed at 03:30–03:45 ET, suggesting a potential pause in bearish momentum. Resistance levels appear at 0.209–0.210, while support is emerging at 0.204–0.205.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the price fell below the 20 and 50-period moving averages during the late evening, indicating bearish control. By early morning, the price tested the 20-period MA and began to show signs of reengagement. On the daily chart, the 50 and 100-period MAs suggest a broader bearish trend, though the 200-period MA remains a key reference for long-term direction.

MACD & RSI

The RSI plunged into oversold territory below 30 during the early morning of 2025-09-26, indicating a potential overextension of bearish momentum and possible reversal. The MACD turned negative in the late evening, reinforcing the bearish sentiment, but a narrowing histogram during the early morning suggests slowing bearish pressure and a possible reversal.

Backtest Hypothesis

The backtest strategy suggests a mean-reversion approach triggered by RSI entering oversold territory and the price bouncing off the 20-period moving average. This would align with the observed early morning reversal and could be tested over a historical dataset for statistical validity. A stop loss would be placed below 0.2035, with a target at 0.2100.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded significantly during the late evening as the price fell below the lower band, indicating increased bearish pressure. By early morning, the price moved closer to the upper band, suggesting a short-term reversal. The contraction of the bands during the overnight hours indicated a period of consolidation before the morning move.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked during 17:30–18:30 ET as the price dropped below key support, confirming bearish conviction. During the early morning, volume decreased as buyers entered, suggesting a potential reversal rather than a continuation of the bearish trend. A divergence between volume and price was observed in the last 6 hours, where price rose with relatively low volume, indicating cautious optimism.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci retracements from the 0.2137 high to the 0.2040 low show 0.2065 (38.2%) and 0.2083 (61.8%) as key levels. The price tested the 0.2040 level and bounced back toward 0.2085, suggesting 0.2083 as a potential short-term ceiling. On the 15-minute chart, the recent swing from 0.2037 to 0.2090 shows 0.2065 as a key level of interest.

The next 24 hours may see traders testing the 0.208–0.210 resistance with caution, particularly if the RSI remains in oversold territory and volume does not confirm a bearish continuation. A break above 0.210 could signal a short-term reversal, while a retest of 0.2040 may present a key risk to the upward bias. Investors are advised to monitor volume patterns and the 50-period MA for directional clarity.