• Price opened at $0.00026281 and closed at $0.00024891, with a peak of $0.00027783 and a trough of $0.00024665.
• Volatility surged post-17:00 ET, with price peaking at $0.00027783 before a sharp decline.
• A bearish reversal pattern emerged near $0.00027783, accompanied by a volume spike of 558.9M.
• RSI entered oversold territory below 30, while MACD turned negative, signaling weakening momentum.
• Bollinger Bands showed a contraction in the morning before a sharp expansion, confirming breakout and breakdown phases.
Neiro Ethereum/Tether (NEIROUSDT) opened at $0.00026281 on 2025-10-09 12:00 ET and closed at $0.00024891 on 2025-10-10 12:00 ET, hitting a high of $0.00027783 and a low of $0.00024665 over the 24-hour period. Total traded volume was 19,979,271,830 and notional turnover reached $5.45M. The pair displayed heightened volatility and bearish momentum in the latter half of the session.
Structure & Formations
Price developed a bearish reversal pattern near the $0.00027783 level, marked by a long upper wick and a large red candlestick, confirming a breakdown from a prior resistance zone. The breakdown was reinforced by a significant volume spike of 558.9M. A potential support level has formed near $0.00024665, with price consolidating around that area in the final candle. A bullish engulfing pattern appears at $0.00026226–$0.00026394 earlier in the session, but failed to sustain the upward move.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are bearishly aligned, with the 20MA crossing below the 50MA, reinforcing a downtrend. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA is now above the 100- and 200-period MAs, indicating a potential shift in trend from bullish to bearish. The 200-day MA appears to act as a critical support level in the long-term view, but it may not hold in the short term given current momentum.
MACD & RSI
The MACD crossed into negative territory, confirming the bearish momentum following the breakdown at $0.00027783. The RSI dropped below 30, signaling oversold conditions, though it may not necessarily prompt a rebound without a bullish divergence. The RSI failed to form a strong base during the consolidation phase, suggesting bearish exhaustion is not yet complete. The MACD histogram widened in the bearish direction post-17:00 ET, coinciding with the sharp price drop.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands showed a tight consolidation phase in the morning before expanding sharply following the breakdown at $0.00027783. Price traded within the bands during the early phase but broke below the lower band after 14:00 ET, indicating a strong bearish move. The expansion and breakdown suggest increased volatility and a potential continuation pattern is in place.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked sharply at 14:00 ET to 558.9M and again at 15:00 ET to 1.998B, supporting the breakdown move. Notional turnover increased proportionally, confirming price action. A divergence between volume and price was observed during the early consolidation phase, with price making higher lows without significant volume. This suggests weakness in the bullish attempts and sets up a higher probability of continued bearish momentum.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci retracements to the swing high at $0.00027783 and swing low at $0.00024665, key levels include $0.00026332 (38.2%) and $0.00025310 (61.8%). Price tested the 38.2% level multiple times with mixed results, but failed to hold it. A break below $0.00025310 could target the $0.00024665 level, which appears to be the immediate floor for now.
Backtest Hypothesis
Given the breakdown from resistance and confirmation through volume and momentum indicators, a short-term bearish strategy could be backtested. This strategy would involve entering a short position on a breakdown below $0.00027783 with a stop above the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $0.00026332. A target could be set at the 61.8% level at $0.00025310, with a second target at the swing low of $0.00024665. This setup would leverage the strong bearish confirmation from both MACD and RSI, aligning with the expansion in Bollinger Bands and the spike in volume.
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