Market Overview for Litecoin/Tether (LTCUSDT) – 2025-10-13

• Price opened at $97.61, surged to $102.16 before retreating to $98.96, ending a volatile 24-hour session.
• RSI suggested overbought conditions during the peak, followed by bearish momentum shifts.
• Bollinger Band expansion reflected heightened volatility, with price closing near the midline.
• Volume surged during key swings, confirming intraday directionality and consolidation.

Litecoin/Tether (LTCUSDT) posted a mixed 24-hour performance, marked by sharp intraday swings. Opening at $97.61 on 2025-10-12, it surged past $102.16 before retracing to a close of $98.96 on 2025-10-13. Total volume reached 575,689.03 LTC, with $56,292,950 in turnover. The session saw multiple reversal patterns, rising RSI divergence, and a final consolidation phase.

Structure & Formations

The 15-minute chart displayed key support levels at $98.00 and $97.00, both of which held during the session’s retracements. Resistance was tested at $100.00, $101.00, and $102.00, particularly during the midday and early evening hours. A bullish engulfing pattern emerged at $99.99 following a bearish session earlier, signaling short-term reversal potential. Additionally, a morning star formation at $98.96 offered further buy-side clues. Notably, the price formed a bearish harami at $101.00–$101.35, suggesting a potential top formation during the late afternoon.

Moving Averages

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart intersected during the afternoon session, indicating a possible shift from bullish to bearish momentum. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA remains above the 200-period MA, maintaining a bullish bias. However, the 100-period MA is gradually catching up to the 50-period MA, suggesting a slowdown in upward momentum. The price closed below the 50-period MA, signaling caution in the near term.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line turned bearish in the latter half of the session, crossing below the signal line and forming a bearish divergence with price. The histogram contracted mid-session but expanded in the evening hours as selling pressure increased. RSI peaked near 70 during the $101.00–$102.16 rally before dropping into neutral territory at the close. This suggests overbought conditions were corrected, with a bearish bias forming on the indicator. Traders may expect a possible test of the 50-level, with oversold conditions likely not reached in the near term.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands displayed a marked expansion during the session’s peak, indicating increased volatility. The price traded above the upper band for brief periods, reinforcing the overbought reading on RSI. As the price retraced, it settled closer to the midline, suggesting a period of consolidation. The lower band held steady around $96.50, but the price did not test it, indicating strong support from buyers at this level.

Volume & Turnover

Volume surged during the morning and afternoon highs, confirming the strength of the upward move. A notable spike in volume was recorded at $100.41, where a large candle suggested accumulation or distribution activity. Turnover peaked at $1,022,000 during the $100.00–$101.00 range. However, volume declined in the final hours, as the price consolidated near $98.00–$99.00. This suggests diminishing conviction on the upside and potential buyer fatigue.

Fibonacci Retracements

Fibonacci levels drawn from the $96.27 low to the $102.16 high indicated key areas of interest. The $99.67 (38.2%) and $98.03 (61.8%) levels were tested multiple times during the session, particularly during the evening pullback. The $98.03 level, in particular, saw a strong rejection, suggesting strong short-term support. Traders may watch these levels closely for potential bounces or breakouts in the coming 24 hours.

Backtest Hypothesis

The RSI-based backtesting strategy provides an interesting parallel to the observed 24-hour action. The cumulative 142% return from 2022 to 2025 aligns with the kind of volatile swings seen in LTC/USDT, where RSI can frequently signal overbought or oversold conditions. However, with a maximum drawdown of ~62%, the strategy’s risk profile underscores the need for complementary tools to filter noise. During this session, RSI did flag overbought conditions during the peak, but without a stop-loss or trend filter, a short entry on the bearish divergence might have captured the retracement. The strategy could benefit from volume filters—such as confirming bearish RSI divergence with a volume spike—to increase signal reliability and reduce false positives.