Market Overview for Jupiter/Tether (JUPUSDT) – 2025-10-26

• Jupiter/Tether (JUPUSDT) traded within a consolidating range, with key support holding near 0.425 and resistance near 0.435.
• A bullish breakout attempt failed, but momentum remains constructive with RSI near 50.
• Volatility increased in the early hours of 2025-10-26, but volume failed to confirm the move.
• Price action suggests potential for a short-term bounce after a consolidation phase.
• No significant divergence between volume and price was observed, indicating balanced market participation.

At 12:00 ET−1 on 2025-10-25, Jupiter/Tether (JUPUSDT) opened at 0.4136 and traded as low as 0.4134 before closing at 0.4272 by 12:00 ET on 2025-10-26. The daily high reached 0.444 during the session. Over 24 hours, the pair saw a total volume of 8.4 million JUP and a notional turnover of $3.5 million, indicating moderate liquidity.

Structure & Formations

The 15-minute chart shows Jupiter/Tether consolidating between key support at 0.425 and resistance at 0.435 over the past 24 hours. Several bullish candlestick patterns, such as a small engulfing pattern and a morning star, were observed around the 0.428 level. The price failed to hold above 0.435, forming a bearish rejection, suggesting that resistance may hold for now. A bearish doji appeared at 0.435, indicating a potential pause in the upward move.

Moving Averages

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart are currently converging near the 0.429 level, indicating a potential area of interest. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA has crossed above the 100-period MA, a bullish sign. The 200-period MA, however, remains below the current price, suggesting a longer-term bearish bias. The convergence of the shorter-term moving averages suggests that Jupiter/Tether could experience a breakout or reversal soon.

MACD & RSI

The MACD (12, 26, 9) on the 15-minute chart remains above the zero line with a moderate positive divergence, indicating ongoing bullish momentum but with signs of slowing. The RSI (14) has crossed above 50 but remains below overbought territory at 70, suggesting that the pair is not in a strong overbought condition yet. This implies that while the trend remains positive, a pullback could be expected if the RSI approaches the 60–65 level.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands on the 15-minute chart are currently expanding, indicating an increase in volatility. Jupiter/Tether closed near the upper band at 0.435 during the earlier part of the session but has since retraced and now trades closer to the mid-band. A potential breakout or breakdown could be expected if the price remains near the upper or lower band for extended periods. The bands remain relatively tight in the latter half of the day, indicating a consolidation phase.

Volume & Turnover

Volume and notional turnover spiked around the 0.430 and 0.440 levels during the early hours of 2025-10-26, aligning with price action. While the volume was sufficient to push the price higher during the initial breakout, it failed to hold above the 0.435 resistance. This divergence may suggest that the upward move is not yet fully supported by market participation. The declining volume in the late hours suggests a potential consolidation ahead.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the recent 15-minute swing from 0.4134 to 0.444 shows the price consolidating near the 0.432 level, which aligns with the 61.8% retracement. This suggests that the current price could either retest this level or attempt another move toward the 0.435 resistance. On the daily chart, the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels are near 0.430 and 0.429, respectively, offering potential support for the pair in the short term.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the observed support at 0.425 and resistance at 0.435, a potential backtest hypothesis could involve a long entry on a confirmed break above 0.435 with a stop-loss below 0.429. Alternatively, a short entry could be considered on a breakdown below 0.425 with a stop above 0.430. This would test the strength of these key levels and the continuation of current price structure. The MACD and RSI indicators suggest that the pair is not in overbought territory yet, making it suitable for a medium-term backtest from 2022-01-01 to 2025-10-26, assuming the correct symbol format is used.